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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Not sure if his own doctors or ours didn’t suggest surgery but it now looks short sighted…
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Aloha Jamie, I may not be as concerned by the defense as a lot of folks. Although the center position does concern me. We were shredded when AD rested. The first part of the year we had one of the better defensive rankings in the league but we often found ourselves 10 to 14 points behind by the end of the first quarter. When we went with the offensive line up that stopped happening. I think that Vando and Gabe will be big for us if they can stay healthy. Last year we simply did not have guys to bring in when we really needed tough defense. I’m hoping that growth from some of our younger guys will help our defense. Last year Austin’s defense started to improve, towards the end of the year, hopefully that trend continues. Rui is actually a pretty good on ball defender. His problem was more about getting lost in his rotations and he found himself chasing the play at times. Fortunately that is something that is easier to correct than on ball ability. His defensive rating was 113.9 as a starter, while the teams rating was 118 over that stretch. I also have high hopes for Max. He did look very good at times on defense, he made young guy mistakes but NBA defense is the last to develop. Hopefully he will be more consistent. Woods defense was better than advertised when he played the 4. While the sample size was small the front line of LeBron. AD and Wood were plus 22 per 100 possession. Jackson isn’t bulky enough to bang but hopefully he can learn to use that athleticism to do a better job of protecting the rim. This team has a lot of fire power so if we can improve the defense some we can be dangerous. Still hoping we can find a banger at some point.
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I’m ho early not too worried at all about scoring the ball, stopping the other team is a big concern for me.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Personally, can only speak for myself, I’m more impressed with the fact that the US women hoopers are on the verge of a 60 game Olympic winning streak than at the comeback I saw today. That, my friends, is what dominance looks like.
Let’s go ladies!!!!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Which means basically for a year, or whenever draft day is next summer. No surprise here, Jazz brass (Trader Danny) never really “dangled” LM, they just never said he was off limits. If you play for a team with Ainge as the GM you should probably know, or gain the knowledge, that any player can be had…for the right over-prince.
When that deal didn’t emerge this was the smartest path. Lock him up for 5 years, $238 mil and start building. After this season, depending on how he actually plays (and how much) it will be interesting to see what his market is. $40+ mil for a guy who hasn’t even taken a team to the playoffs is steep. Even LaVine has at least been the key player on playoff rosters. Yes, he’s technically an All-Star…once. So this should be interesting to see unfold.
What doesn’t change is how far under the minimum salary floor the Jazz or that they need to sign at least 2 players in order to meet the minimum roster requirements. Still something brewing over there just hard to discern what it could be.
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Actually Jamie, they actually were allowed to add 24 mil to this years contract so the Jazz are now over the floor. They still need to add 3 players though.
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I am left with bad feelings. The Lakers’ overall inactivity during the offseason raised my eyebrows initially, but then the painful sting took over. As a fan, I am worried that missed opportunities may come back to haunt the team in the 2024-25 season.
I am fully invested in their performance, so the inaction worsened things for me. Let’s hope for a successful season ahead!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
On our podcast over the weekend the topic of the salary floor came up. I nonchalantly asked the panel if anyone knew what the penalty for not meeting said floor was since I had no clue. LT confidently said, “they just pay the excess into a fund that goes to the league office.” which seemed kind of sensible enough and so I left it at that.
The way my brain works has always been funny, even to me. I generally don’t stop and think about something, it’s more like a kitchen with 8 or 9 dishes in various stages of completion. Throughout the day my mind drifted back to LT’s answer, mainly because the more I thought about it the more it felt out of line with Adam Silver’s campaign to even out competitive balance. The penalties for over-spending felt extremely harsh when compared to “and if you don’t spend enough, just send us a check and we’ll throw ourselves a pizza party!”
So today on my lunch break I did my own research and found that the answer provided to me was incorrect. The penalties for not meeting the NBA minimum salary floor are almost as extreme as pushing past the second apron. I don’t post this just to zing LT, that’s a semi-amusing side effect, at best. I post this because it affects a lot of what could happen in the next month or so. SO here it is, at long last, the not asked for at all rules on the NBA Minimum Salary Floor!!!!!
-Beginning in 2024/25, a team whose salary is below the minimum floor at the start of the regular season won’t receive a share of the end-of-season luxury tax payouts. (last season it was just 50%, this is important because small market owners absolutely rely on this windfall to turn a profit)
-A team whose salary is below the minimum floor at the start of the season will have a cap hold added to its salary in order to reach the minimum floor. For instance, a team with a $117,418,000 salary on opening night in 2023/24 would have a $5MM cap hold added to its salary to reach the $122,418,000 floor and would be unable to immediately access that $5MM of cap room. (For Utah that would be a whopping $21, 983, 000+ million dollar cap hold!)
-A team that begins the season below the floor cannot reduce the shortfall amount it will owe at the end of the season by spending on player salaries during the season. For example, a team that starts the season $5MM below the floor would owe no less than $5MM at the end of the season. The shortfall amount that club owes could increase if its team salary dips further than $5MM below the floor by the end of the season.
So not only would Utah owe nearly $22 mil in league payments they would be denied any payments from the luxury tax pool in addition to having a cap hold imposed on them throughout the season making it more difficult to swing a massive trade or sign someone who is waived. That is nothing to sneeze at folks. Especially for a small market team like the Jazz who aren’t selling out the arena, aren’t the benefactors of a mega local cable market and are one of the more fiscally responsible teams out there.
Now it is possible they could take a one-season hit. After all, Ryan Smith’s net worth is 2.2 billion. It’s just hard for me to see a guy who knows how money works simply throw money away or sacrifice his GM’s team building flexibility.
All of this is to say I expect the Jazz to be involved in some kind of deal where they absorb salary for the cost of a couple picks, maybe even a 1st rounder or 2 . The are plenty of (Zach LaVine) contracts out there that a team would be happy (Zach LaVine) to move (Zach) for a draft pick without taking back more than one (LaVine) player (Zach LaVine). Maybe Zach LaVine…? They can send out my man Jordan Clarkson and balance out the roster and sign some decent talent from the Olympics. It’d be great to see Wenyan get back into the NBA or something like that.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Well, at least we didn’t lose Cam Reddish! Rob has been utterly out GM’d this summer by the entire Association. Putting a lotta eggs in the “better health/no regression” baskets. We’ll see how that works out. Seems like getting Tyus for the cost of moving Cam via a 2nd rounder would have been worth it given our seeming intent to trade DLo and Vincent’s health concerns coupled with Reaves being only decent at running the point. But what do I know?
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There’s a point where Jeanie has to see Rob Pelinka has to go. The indecision and lack of confidence has paralyzed our front office.
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I’m going to give Robb a pass. I’m sure he tried to move some guys. But this is a brave new NBA world. The Nuggets had to send 3 2nd round picks for the Hornets to take Reggie Jackson. The Lakers only have 4 2nd round picks. The few sellers are trying to cash in with over pricing players, knowing there isn’t much inventory out there. I have been critical of Robb for years but I don’t see this as his fault.
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I’m assuming brave is in the sarcasm font? Not disagreeing but the fact is Max Christie’s market was not sooooo scorching he needed to be the first move. Speaking of Max I can think of 3 players off the top of my head who I’d have used the MLE his deal would have opened up. Jones, Trent Jr. or Drummond. I’d have even preferred keeping Dinwiddie. But we had to rectify Rob’s mistake of only signing him to a 2 year rookie deal. Feel free to be critical, he’s earned it.
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Remember Jamie Robb could only sign him for 2 years without giving him MLE money. Thats changed now and it’s act called the Pelinka rule.
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All I’m saying is we dictated Max’s value, not the market. This in turn forced us into begging at the ATM of LeBeon to take massive pay cut to engage the TPMLE since I honestly never bought into him taking a $20+ mil cut. Based on the market for proven commodities like Jones and Trent Jr. it’s real hard for me to see Max getting what he got on the open market. I’d take the MLE over Max. He could be a good player but he has a lot of growth to do to live up that deal based on our actual roster needs. He’s the 4th…maybe 5th…guard in the rotation behind DLo, Reaves, Vincent and maybe even DK. I’m just not seeing the logic.
I called running back a couple months ago and nothing has changed that opinion but that doesn’t mean I won’t be astounded by illogic as I have been thus far. All I can come up with is that FO planned for or more of Wood. Hayes, and Cam to walk. That’s a bad plan when they’re your margin for error.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Reality begins to set in for the click bait crowd. Took ’em long enough…
Utah won’t be trading LM unless it’s for a “can’t refuse offer”. Unlikely the Lakers have one they can offer, if they even wanted to in the first place. Also it’s unlikely most teams see that as doing good business when they’d have to turn around and pay him a ton of money for what was essentially one good season. He could just as easily be the next BI where he does well enough on a bad team but either can’t stay on the floor or can’t win at the playoff level. Or both, since he hasn’t managed to get there on Utah.
Chicago “resigned” to starting the season with LaVine. So much for getting draft picks for taking him on? Honestly, Chicago might as well wait and try and rehab his value. They have this odd belief they’re on the cusp of contending. Which I don’t get at all.
Speaking of Mr. Ingram, BI likely to stay in NOLA. Again, not surprising. He took a step back and nobody is probably excited to offer him a multi year max contract and/or send NOLA the haul they likely feel entitled to for him in a trade. Might as well hold onto your picks and let the market dictate his value next summer.
Welcome to the new CBA, folks. Big contracts for under-performing players are the new albatross in ways we can only imagine to actual GMs. It’s funny when the league signs an incredibly profitable deal and the players probably won’t see the half of it in terms of salaries simply because they agreed to a max 10% cap growth every season. 15-20% probably would have made more sense.
Also, shout out to whomever owns TNT for suing the league when they rejected the match. Hard for Silver to arbitrate the oddity that is the Timberwolves not selling to the A-Rod group now since this is, basically, the same thing.
Gotta love the dog days man…
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Oh, I almost forgot. Super awesome Laker “insider” Mr. Buha confirms that the Lakers have been shopping DLo with nary a taker in sight. Awesome. Like LaVine I’d cut that off at the knees, publicly declare the roster is fine as-is and sorry coach but we couldn’t lure Shaq out of retirement to be your bruising center and focus on February.
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At least media day will be interesting. “Hey DLo, what’s your reaction to the Lakers shopping you all summer and nobody biting?” (DLo drops mic and walks away)
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The good news Jamie is the Lakers have resisted going after the names that are out there. It’s funny, the Trailblazers were criticized for giving Jabari Grant that big 5 year contract. Then Dame leaves and that contract becomes even worse. There was speculation that the Blazers would have pay to get out of it. Enter the Lakers and they suddenly want 2 first picks along with the 3 contracts it would take. Two of those would be good players they could flip. In essence they want lakers to pay to get out of a crummy contract. Teams have been trying to screw what’s perceived as a desperate lakers team. Kudos to Rob for not doing something stupid like he did with Russ. It’s best to see what the team looks like after a couple of months.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Loved the moxie the team showed tonight. Young guys really battled and I like the slight change in attack, fewer threes (weren’t winning chucking anyhow) and pretty decent (for summer league) D.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Might be the best fit for him if his goal is to win a ring, could end up starting which is important to him. Takes a lotta pressure of Jokic and Murray in the first 3 quarters. Would be surprised if he ended up anywhere else.
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Wish Frank was running our FO…only move I’d second guess is choosing Harden over George. Lowballing PG never made much sense but it’s not like the new CBA just punishes with Ballmer money, punishes the team.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
After listening to Tom tell me how bananas I was for suggesting quality NBA players may not sign for the vet minimum but rather play for a lot more money overseas (and how that idea was stupid, I believe, his words lol) today we see that Pat Bev is considering playing overseas for a lot more money than the vet minimum.
Wow. How surprised am I? Zero, it doesn’t take a genius to understand (or I dunno, maybe it does and I’m a genius?) that these guys aren’t video game trade chips that just do whatever you want or tell them to do in your mind. They have a tremendous amount of pride, they have a small window to earn money playing a game, most of them aren’t all that worried about where the paycheck comes from. They do worry about the size.
So if you want to keep playing with other people’s money, feel free. It’s never really been a game that interests me. These guys will find paydays and some agents might get fired. The NBA free agency is like an ever more dangerous game of musical chairs. Money that was on the table 10 minutes ago is gone now, you sat too slowly.
I don’t believe Pat Bev will be the exception, I think that, at this point in the summer and seeing how most teams have zipped up the cap space, you can either choose the Schroeder Route (play overseas, rehab value, get in earlier the following summer, maybe do well in FIBA if at all possible).
La Melo played overseas rather college or the G-League. There is money to be made and no salary cap to strop you from maximizing what you believe your worth top be. You can play in a vacation destination like Spain or Australia all while playing a decent role for the game you love. Heck, you might be the “star” of the team.
This is the flip side of globalization, that good players aren’t forced to play for pennies. They do have options.
Patrick Beverley Weighing 'Historic' European Contract amid NBA Free Agency Offers
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Jamie, while you’re right about players going for what’s best for them money wise, what would one make of Jalen Brunson taking a substantial pay cut for the Knicks? Could it be that the possibility of a major injury played a role in his decision? 113 million is a lot of money to leave on the table.
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For 9 out of 10 guys who take this route, Jamie, it’s a one-way ticket out of the NBA. My point is guys who still have game want to play in the NBA, not overseas. They do that when they have no other option. Pat Beverley has played his last game in the association imo.
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He wants to win and he wants to win now, IMO. I never begrudge a player for taking the most coin that they can. It always cracks me up when other people say “so and so will take less…for the team!” When the team is likely actively engaged in trying to trade that guy. That’s why the phrase “it’s a business” always rings the most true. To me, anyhow.
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I think folks have alotta misconceptions about pro athletes. I have a few friends & fam who were marginal pros (nobody you’d probably know) and they’ll all tell you that most dudes aren’t trying to be Kobe & Brady. They know they have an extremely limited shelf life and that most careers are over before they hit 30 years of age. Guys in that situation are trying to get paid while they still can and leave with a decent nestegg to start the next stage of life that’ll be substantially longer than their playing careers. We ain’t talking about generational wealth here. Ideally you’d want to spend as much time in the NBA as possible but sometimes it just doesn’t work out that way and you do what you gotta do. The shifting CBA rules don’t make it any easier either.
It’s actually alot like any other workplace; you’ve got a small percentage who really give a sh!t and want to move up into management & above. You’ve got another small percentage who are truly no good at their job but do the bare minimum to keep from getting fired. Then you have the vast majority who just wanna do their best, get paid on Friday, and go home. But that kinda ruins the illusion that everybody will spill blood for a ring.
I was talking with my niece’s fiance a coupla weeks ago who tried for about 3 years to make it to the NBA but could never quite catch on. Got an offer to play in Turkey that paid him way more than he woulda made on a minimum NBA contract. Also paid for just about all his living expenses. Spent 5 years there and the only thing he regrets is that he didn’t do it sooner. Everything ain’t for everybody…..
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I think with this lousy, top-heavy CBA we’ll see more on-the-fringes guys going for overseas paydays. Guys at the tail end like Pat Bev would find themselves winding down their careers overseas before this abomination of a CBA cut them off at the knees, so it’s not at all surprising to see him take one last stab at it over there.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Michael, Tom and I go live. If you want to chat in real time hit us up on YouTube at the Lakers Fast Break channel.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Barring a sign and trade for Rui or Vincent (highly unlikely at this point, IMO, for various reasons I don’t feel like espousing on right now) we’re looking at salary dumping one of our 3 vet minimum players and using the vet minimum to bring in one guy, maybe 2. That’s the last “move” left for the summer in the realm of reality.
Gary Trent Jr. would be at the absolute top of my list, hard to see him playing for so little money as the vet minimum, or even the TPMLE for him at this point. Since we know the non TPMLE is off the table (I think for the entire league as it stands today) my guess is he signs with a contender that offers him the best role. Even then I’m not sure we’re the best fit. Yes, we’d love to have his shooting and at 25 he still falls into the “developing” category but what minutes exist for him if one assumes Reaves, Vincent, JV and Rui are all going to see 20+ mpg? Add in getting Knecht some run and seeing GT in purple and gold seems elusive, at best.
…THT. No. Hell no.
Big men like Bamba and Biyombo honestly feel like we’re just swapping mediocre for mediocre, might as well just keep Woods and/or Hayes, honestly. Same goes for Reddish and trying to get Precious or Bey or any number of rangy dudes who are sort of high energy but can’t really put it all together in a meaningful way on the pro court.
Spencer Dinwiddie makes the most sense as he played decently last season but I bet he’s hoping some kind of money opens up for him above the vet min (see Trent Jr. above).
Lonnie Walker 2.0? Again, is this much of an upgrade over Cam? Maybe a small one.
Cam Payne, Fultz, Wagner, the Morris twins, all of these names are, well, pretty uninspiring and, as such is the case, I expect the Lakers to run it back. As is.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
It would take DLO and Rui and probably at least 2 unprotected FRPs. Maybe some more swaps. BI likely looking for the max extension which, between Bron, AD and that deal ($60 something mil).
Anyhoo, I am of the opinion we are probably either a few ponies short, would balk at the price of that odd-fitting trio, the optics of giving up as much for BI as we did AD, the difficulty of building a decent team once we rocket past the 2nd apron just to keep Reaves or any number of logical reasons why we wouldn’t make that deal but it’s the dog days and I’m bored.
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He’s on a max contract, looking for a crazy max extension. He’s not worth either, doesn’t really move the needle. In the new second apron era, I think he’s looking more at a Derozan type deal than a max but maybe that’s just me. Not a winning player, nor particularly durable. No way to build a contender with a guy like that being your 3rd earning 40mm+ with the new restrictions. Based on the lack of movement by the Lakers, I think they realize there’s no building a contender with 3 max guys these days.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Source NBA.com:
The National Basketball Association today announced that the Salary Cap has been set at $140.588 million for the 2024-25 season. The Tax Level for the 2024‑25 season is $170.814 million.
The Salary Cap and Tax Level go into effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on Monday, July 1. Teams are permitted to begin negotiating with free agents today at 6:00 p.m. ET — six hours prior to the start of the league’s “moratorium period.” The moratorium period ends at noon ET on Saturday, July 6.
The Minimum Team Salary is $126.529 million for the 2024-25 season.
The First Apron Level is $178.132 million for the 2024-25 season.
The Second Apron Level is $188.931 million for the 2024-25 season.
The Collective Bargaining Agreement provides for three different Mid-Level Exceptions depending on a team’s salary level. The Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level for the 2024-25 season is $12.822 million, the Taxpayer Mid-Level is $5.168 million, and the Mid-Level for a team with room under the Salary Cap is $7.983 million.Okee dokee, so as I understand it, we currently have access to the taxpayer MLE because we are over the 1st apron but under the 2nd. The taxpayer mid-level exception belongs to teams who are above the salary cap and in the first luxury tax apron. Teams above the second apron do not have a mid-level exception. The non-taxpayer mid-level exception belongs to teams who are over the salary cap but not in the first luxury tax apron.
Currently we’re over the 1st apron and about $10 mil under the 2nd so we can use the $5.168 million MLE to sign anyone…if we cut someone since we’re at the maximum roster size. This is because of the cap hits for LeBron, Prince. We could renounce whatever rights we have but I doubt that’s happening.
To gain access to the NTPMLE, worth $12.822 million, we’d need to be above $140.588 but still end up UNDER $170.814 million after we use it, you can’t use that and punch your way into the tax area…which isn’t an actual apron…which makes all of this a lot harder.
If you get all the way under the salary cap itself but above the minimum salary you, are some reason, kind of penalized and I think you only get access to the Room Exception which is the one worth $7.983 mil.
We haven’t even factored in Bronny or Knecht yet, either, right? I’m not 100% sure but I think works out to adding roughly $4.9 mil in added salary on top of the already guaranteed money and the cap holds worth mentioning. If I’m not crazy…no guarantee…that leaves us at $170,229 million in guaranteed salary. So LeBron would have to take a pretty hefty pay cut to keep the salary under $170.814 million and have the room to use the full exception. I believe roughly $20 mil
I am not a cap expert, by any means so please feel free to double-check my math lol. One thing I’m 100% certain of is that somebody needs to be cut in order to free up a physical roster space. That $$$ still counts against the salary cap, it only opens up a roster spot.
Ooops. My brain just exploded.
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Hah, I ain’t takin no Income Cut for Jeannie or Rob. Not for Derose or anyone like him. I would have for a real player that can change things up. Guess we roll with it?
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This is why it’s so hard to trust the Lakers’ front office.
They’re either incompetent or deliberately secretive.