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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Of course, right after I wrote that, a post came up where Dre said he’s in the best shape of his life, lost 10 to 15 pounds, and is ready to play tomorrow. LOL. Great news. He’s saying all the right things, like Michael, opps, Jamie said. Man, this could be sweet. We needed something like this to feel good after losing AD and Bron.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great Fiver, Jamie. Thank you.
1. Trezz. The addition of Andre is going to dramatically impact Trezz and Marc even with AD out. I expect DNP’s for Marc and reduced minutes for Trezz until AD returns, dramatically reduced minutes after AD returns, and scarce minutes in the playoffs.
That’s the biggest change. I don’t think you can play Andre and Trezz together. That leaves Trezz only playing when AD is at the five in the playoffs, maybe 16 minutes per game if Andre plays his usual 32 minutes. Going to be something to watch.
2. Keef. After a bunch of boneheaded turnovers in the first half, it was good to see Keef’s shots fall in the second half. We need him in our small ball defensive lineups with AD at the five so great news to see him started to get it together.
3. Uphill battle for Dennis to remain a Laker after this season. Let’s hope he continues to play well and hit some threes and take better care of the ball. Can’t shoot 31% from deep and have a turnover to assists ratio under 2 and expect $20 million.
4. Kuz is transforming himself into the player the Lakers thought they had in Caruso. Glue guy who can do everything. What sets him apart from Alex is Kuz can get you 20 points or 10 rebounds or 2 blocks or 2 steals and do it from three different positions.
5. THT. Glad to see Talen say how appreciative he was that the Lakers had the confidence in him to not trade him. He came out nervous in the first post trade game but looked much more in control against the Cavs. I’m still on the Island but I still worry about his 3-point shooting despire excellent free throw %.
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Now that we got Drummond, the big question is who will be the 15th man. While it dind’t seem like the buyout market was going to be a big deal, the number of players bought out dwarfs the number of players traded. In fact, this is the biggest buyout market yet and we still have until April 7th.
I’ve backed off of Bradley and think Lakers need a big 3&D player. Otto Porter, Jr or someobody with size to defend Kawhi, PG, Durant, Harden, etc. I thnk we will be patient to see what happens. Easier to find minutes for that player than a guard. And we have zero minutes for centers anymore, as Marc will find out.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Trezz and Kieff get it done money-wise and he could bump Pope to the bench. At 6’3″ (but with THT style length) he could slot in at the 2 or 3. Versatile, shoots the three, expiring contract. I’d rather try to make this deal for KCP and Dudley but…yeah that ain’t happening.
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Norman was #6 on my list so didn’t make the article. Not a great playmaker is only reason he didn’t make my top 5 but would be a great help offensively and plays excellent defense.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Elgin Baylor, the Los Angeles Lakers’ first superstar, among the first in an emerging National Basketball Assn., and a fixture on the L.A. basketball scene for the better part of half a century, has died of natural causes in Los Angeles.
https://www.latimes.com/obituaries/story/2021-03-22/la-me-elgin-baylor-lakers
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Man, I grew up listening to Chick Hearn rave about Elgin Baylor and Jerry West and all those heartbreaking losses to the Greenies. I was a Wilt fan back then so rooted for Golden Stats and then Philly until he came to the Lakers.
I grew up as a rebel who wouldn’t root for the home town team. As a kid in Wisconsin, I hated the Packers and Braves, rooted for the Cardinals and Yankees, moved to LA at 12 and rooted for the Cardinals and Warriors, then Sixers and finally Lakers. When Bill Walsh took over for 49ers , I then switched to them.
Today, Lakers, Yankees, 49ers, and UCLA Bruins, even though I have degrees from CSLA and UCR and at times went to USC, UCLA, UCSD, and NYU. Funny how we all pick our teams or they pick us. LOL I do believe we are whom we root for.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Good realistic fiver, Jamie.
1. KCP. Time to go, Kenny. He’s like the player who won’t take that half court shot less he hurts his shooting percentage. Kenny making sure he finishes the season with a high 3-point %.
2. I’ve been on THT Island from the beginning but he’s our equivalent of a first round pick and will be sweetener to close a deal we need. Can’t waste a LeBron James year.
3. Kyle, Can’t do on his own but is a valuable role player and we do need some of them. Could be in a trade for a $20M per year player though.
4. Starting 5. Can’t play 2 against 5 even when we have LeBron and AD back. Nor can a bunch of great role players really sub for a third star. But a group of semi-stars who can score can.
5. Kills me to have to trade Trezz, who’s shown he can play with or without superstars. Same with Dennis. Problem is we need more playmaking than Dennis can give us and more rim protection than Trezz can give us.
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Jamie, hard cap is not a problem. While we can take back 125% of what we send out, we can also opt to take back just 89% of what we send out, which also works in matching salaries.
In the 3 trades I proposed, we sent out salaries totaling $41.8M and only took back $34M, opening up $7.8M more under the hard cap, allowing us to sign IT and Boogie and go to 15 players.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Good fiver, Jamie. But there are silver linings. Could have been closer to playoffs. Could have been after trade deadline.
1. High ankle sprains. I lost half of two seasons in high school with same injury. They just linger and linger and get easily retweaked. Hope LeBron is really bionic because this was on same ankle as his previous 8 injuries this season.
2. Playoffs. Fans will be returning so seeding may be more important. After tonight, we’ll only be 2 games behind the Spurs for 7th seed and just 5 games behind the Grizzlies for 10th seed. Good chance were going to have to win the Play-In Tournament to make the playoffs unless we get best case scenario for LeBron and AD returning.
3. Who’s going to step up? This is Dennis’ chance to show his worth but he’s not going to do it by turning the ball over 6 times like last night. The issue is the starters have a dud in KCP who’s down to 8,5 points per game for the position that leads most teams in scoring.
Kuz, Trezz, and THT need to do what they did the first four games of the second half. My vote for a guy who could really help would be Gasol with outside shooting and playmaking, both of which the starters desperately need.
4. We’re not as limited as you think, Jamie. Just need to send out more salary in trade than we take in. Problem we have is without LeBron and AD, three of our key trade chips are also three players we desperately need to play well, namely Trezz, Kuz, and THT.
The guy who has to go is KCP, Klutch client or not. His value is filler, which means we likely have to include THT and our 2027 pick to get a 3-point shooting playmaker who could help. Then we have to pray for Drummond.
5. What do we do. Rob has to earn his big bucks by making the right moves to get the playmaking volume 3-point shooter and rim protector we need without stripping our depleted depth in the short term. Frank and the coaches have to show they can get the offense moving.
Schroder has to prove he’s worth over $20 million, Kuz that he’s worth the $39 million we gave him over the next three years, Trezz that he can give us 20 ppg while Bron and AD are out, Caruso that he’s not become the overrated injury prone can’t shoot straight guard he’s looked like for the last month, and Gasol, Matthews, and Morris that they still have something in the tank.
I consider my beloved THT and sadly disappointing KCP and our 2027 first round pick long gone at this point.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Sounds like Trevor is heading to Miami for Myers Leonard. Great move by the Heat.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Good fiver, Admiral Ackbar. We assumed you had called this as a ‘trap’ game.
1. LeBron and Trezz pick-and-rolls need to become a mainstay just like Lou Williams and Trezz pick-and-rolls led to Harrell averaging 20 ppg and winning 6MOY last season. In retrospect, Lakers were underutilizing the pick-and-roll in general and with Trezz specifically. Much better go-to option than isolating LeBron or AD on the wing. Never understood why Lakers didn’t do that but maybe the reason is the roller. AD has been inconsistent on the play but Trezz seems like the perfect fit for it. Unfortunately, it may result in him playing so well the second half of the season that we can’t keep him this summer. Or maybe the Pacers or Knicks will suddenly conclude he could help them.
2. Wes had been an enigma this season at both ends. He’s definitely capable of playing excellent defense and getting hot from deep but no consistently. If the Lakers make a big trade, Wes is going to have to be able to fill the hole in the guard rotation so I’m hoping we’ll continue to see him improve and contribute.
3. The Lakers new Bench Big Three of Kuz, Trezz, and THT has been sensational, maybe even good enough for the Pacers to want them in a trade for Myles Turner. How long can they keep this up? All three players are showing their value to the Lakers and to other teams, which is exactly what the Lakers want. We saw signs of the Bench Big Three excelling with LeBron earlier in the season and now that they’re using Trezz in the pick-and-rolls with LeBron or Dennis, it’s become explosive. Just need to show it against better teams. No excuses, no letdowns.
4. THT continues to take 2 or 3 steps forward every time he takes one step back, which is the kind of exponential growth you want from a future star like Talen. The game is slowing down for him for sure and the growth accelerating. He’s got magic in his game and handles bad outings as well as good outings. Only question is his 3-point shooting but he continues to shoot 84% from the line, second only to KCP’s 86.5%,, which bodes well for his future from long range. Been playing like a star since I included him in 10 trades the other day.
5. The problem with your assessment of our 3-point shooting problems is naïve. The Lakers can’t solve their 3-point shooting woes by just making a higher percentage or even shooting more threes. That will only add a point or two to the 10 points per game 3-point differential they have versus the Clipper, Jazz, and Nets, who lead the league with 40 attempted threes per game versus our 30.
The only way you solve the problem is by replacing low volume 3-point shooters with high volume 3-point shooters. And the reality is teams don’t allow players to be volume 3-point shooters unless they shoot above the league average of 35%. If the Lakers want to reduce the 3-point shooting differential, they need to move some of the players who don’t shoot many threes and replace them with guys whose game involve taking more threes.
Last playoffs, we increased our 3-point takes from 31 to 34 per game, which was actually a big increase, many of which came from KCP, LeBron, and Green, who all took more the 5.5 per game. This season, LeBron is taking 6.5 per game but nobody else is even over 5 per game. And you have Trezz eating up big minutes without shooting any. We’re going to need to make some changes in personnel to close the gap.
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LOL. Your reply makes zero sense. WTF does volume in a vacuum mean. You can’t make volume threes without taking volume threes and the only guys whom teams allow to take volume threes are those who make better than the league average. 10 out of 10 of the players with the most 3PA shot over 37.4%.
Current roster is not going to suddenly start taking and making more threes. Need different players to reduce the 10 to 20 point 3-point differential we give up to the other top three teams. Standing pat while everybody else improves is a recipe for a second round exit to the Clippers, Admiral Ackbar.
Only other way to make up the difference is via points in the paint or free throws. We’re better than the Clippers, Jazz, and Nets in PIP differential but not anywhere good enough to offset the 3PT DiF. Ttrading for an elite rim protector like Turner might be one way to help solve that. But obviously, you have now joined the rest of the ‘we don’t need a trade’ crew. Let’s just hope Rob Pelinka knows better.
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I mean I think that you’re applying this scenario in a vacuum devoid of how the team is designed to function. It’s not like we don’t have guys whose role it is is to take and make threes. They haven’t been falling and so we stop taking them. Our leak outs in transition aren’t designed to search out three pointers, they’re designed to get lay ups and dunks.
The Lakers aren’t going to miraculously change how they play at this point. We don’t practice and that has trickled down into every aspect of the game. A lot of teams go for the three ball as a first option. That just isn’t how the Frank Vogel offense works. In crunch time, LeBron or Schroder is taking the ball to the hole and kicking it out. On the Nets and such they are built differently, they have a coach who was an elite three point shooter with guys like Harden who play the analytics game. That’s not LeBron and thus it’s not the Lakers The other side of the analytics coin and, frankly, the smarter and more attainable one, is improving our PIP dominance. Especially for this version of the Lakers. If you have to gut the team to add a couple three point shooters who are far worse defenders than the players leaving it won’t fly.
That’s what I mean by ‘in a vacuum’. I don’t see how any version of the team consistently shoots the fixed number of three point shots you feel is needed. This team is built from a defense-first mentality. While Vogel’s in charge, especially after that worked so well last season, I don’t see a path where that changes. Transition baskets at the rim, attacking the paint and applying the unique pressure LeBron inflicts on a defense paired with decent, not elite, shooting and AD is what makes this team work.
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I don’t see where you get better from simply more. It doesn’t make sense. More is only better if more go in, more without making them is far worse. Taking another 10 three pointers a game means that you’re doing a lot more than tweaking how the team works on offense.
That’s why I see tweaks to the roster but the closer we get to the deadline the more I think we’ll be buyout hunters and that’s where it’ll end. Frank has shown himself to be a believer in the Law of Averages, nothing I’ve ever seen has changed my opinion about that or that’s it’s changed. It won them a title. He and the staff and the players and the front office have put in a lot of work building this team. I think they’re riding this out just about as-is.
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Thanks for clarifying what you said, Jamie. Lots of excellent points. I do agree that’s it’s unlikely that the Lakers are going to change how they play midseason by bringing in multiple volume 3-point shooters. I also agree that it’s unlikely that we will see the current roster suddenly take and make more threes. It’s not in the coach’s or the players DNA.
Frankly, adding volume 3-point shooters is something we should have done in the offseason and was a mistake, especially considering how volume 3-point shooters like Kyrie and Ray Allen had such a big part in LeBron winning championships. However, adding one elite volume 3-point shooter could have as big an impact as having the entire team shoot lights out like they did in last year’s playoffs, especially since the teams were likely to face are all greater volume 3-point shooting teams than last year’s opposition. We don’t want massive change, just one volume shooter for somebody who isn’t.
Finally, it’s good to see you embrace the point I have been trying to make with you all day, which is we need to build a bigger PIP differential to make up for what’s coming via our 3-point differential in the playoffs. And the easiest way to do that is to get an elite rim protector like Myles Turner. We already have a good edge in PIP differential even with our terrible rim protection. Imagine if we had Turner or AD on the floor all 48 minutes and maybe together for start and end of each half. We would get back the dunks and lobs we miss and stop the layup line we currently allow.
Lastly, we need a starting center who isn’t going to get played off the floor in the playoffs because our best defense is our trapping, doubling, rotating defense AND because we don’t want AD to have to play the five for 50% of the time in the playoffs like he had to do last year. Adding a 26-year old shot blocker and inside banger and dunker like Myles will preserve Anthony Davis’s energy and allow us to double down on our defense and win the PIP battle by a lot more points. It will also improve our perimeter and 3-point defense by allowing our defenders not to worry about getting blown by since AD or Myles will have their backs.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Lakers hitting on all cylinders for a change was a welcome relief. Easiest 5 things this season, Jamie. Just need to remember that the Dubs are not the Clippers, Jazz, or Nets.
1. Trezz was beasting last night. Always in the right spot and aggressive knowing he was going up against a rookie rim protector. Whether you want Trezz to show how valuable he can be as a Lakers or to raise his value as a trading chip to a team like the Pacers, his play was great news.
2. We talked a lot about Kuz on the podcast and how the game has finally slowed down for him. Shooting 5 threes per game now at 37.8%, averaging 6.8 rebounds 3rd on team after AD and LeBron, and posting a 103.0 3rd best defensive rating on team after Caruso and LeBron, Kuzma is now cementing his position as the Lakers 3rd most valuable player and the trading chip that could bring back Myles Turner.
3. LeBron taking the bull by the horns to carry the Lakers and also taking advantage of the opportunity to win his 5th regular season MVP now that AD and Embiid are both out with injuries. The King looking great and the team having fun despite missing three key players.
4. I said the other day that the game saving steal and free throws might be exactly what Kenny needed to get untracked and he finally nailed 3 of 4 threes so hopefully this is a sign of him coming out of this slump. Really happy for him although I would still start Kuz at the two.
5. Just when you start worrying about the kid, he comes through in spades with a double-double and 10 assists, many of them leading to Trezz and Kuz dunks or wide-open threes. The third player in the Myles Turner sweepstakes that has to have the Pacers salivating at what they might be able to get from the Lakers.
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Aloha Jamie, nice 5. Last night was a good example of what meant when I posted my playing the right way post. The ball was moving and the 3’s were falling along with a dunksthon. The Warriors maybe a 500 team but they play decent defense, have knocked off the Clippers, the Jazz and us with AD. They dropped 1 130 on the Jazz, so it was a good win for us with so many injuries.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Good stuff, Jamie. Thanks for the consistent effort and great content.
1. Kyle Kuzma’s 11.8 ppg is the fewest points in his career to date but he’s also playing his best basketball as a pro. But his 3-point attempts, makes, and percentage, rebounds, blocks, and defense are the best in his career. And he’s making the fewest fouls per game in his career. Bottom line, he’s redefined what he needed to do be a key contributor to LeBron and AD. Other than in extreme opportunities, I’ve now moved Kuzma off my trade list. I love his game and we need to keep him, especially since he is taking 5.0 threes per game at 37%.
2. Well said about the injuries. The silver lining is better now than late in the season or the playoffs. One significant change in the Covid-19 picture is Biden’s statement that we should be able to offer every American the vaccine starting May 1st, which could mean NBA players could all be vaccinated against Covid before the playoffs start. Let’s keep our fingers crossed and hope that will happen.
3. Wes has worked his way not only off the rotation but also, because of his poor play, off the list of viable trading chips and onto the salary ballast list. Big disappointment although he still appears to play good defense and like any shooter, could get hot. I know some of the trades I’m looking at end up with Wes as our backup shooting guard so I’m still hoping he’s start hitting his threes.
4. Yeah, the hoped-for impact of the break quickly disappeared as the players still look tired and apparently, we only had a single practice as Frank wanted everybody to get time off to get re-energized. Instead, we ended up with more players injured or out for Covid protocol. Maybe we’ll see some impact once everybody is back and available.
5. Great to see you double down on the Myles Turner bandwagon. I’ve also adjusted my Turner trade in the article I will publish later today to reflect Gerald’s ideas. Myles is not a superstar per se but could have ‘superstar’ impact for the Lakers and the Pacers would be better with Sabonis at the five to make room for LeVert and Warren in the starting lineup. No better match up to play the five with AD than Myles Turner. All you need to know to see his potential value is the on ball pressure the Pacers were able to apply with him protecting the rim.
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Thanks LT. It would take Kuz to get Turner I think, hard to see Indy settling for less but I would be thrilled to get him and keep Kyle.
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Thank you Buba! Cosmetic tweaks seem the most likely although some fans would like to see a big name come riding over the hill. Not sure the Lakers have the partable assets to land the big fish. At least w/o gutting much of the best parts of the roster. If we can shake the injury bug with 6 or so weeks to go that should be enough time to gel. More time would obviously be better.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Vogel saying on his video conference w/ reporters that AD will be re-evaluated Friday night, hasn’t done anything full speed in a practice, still no concrete date for his return to the court. Marc and Kostas both out due H&SP (neither has a return date, either) and that he’s looking forward to seeing what Damien can bring in his second 10 day.
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LOL. This might have been one of those times where you ignored the game and did 5 things about Andre Drummond or the Buyout market. Frankly, the games have become almost unwatchable since LeBron and AD went down. Reminds me of that long multiple year stretch where the Lakers were terrible. The Jim Buss and late Mitch Kipchak years.
I have a hunch we may not see Dre for a while. Don’t think the Lakers want him to play until he’s back in shape and ready to be a force. Better to skip some of the big games coming up. Let the Bucks, Clippers, and Nets wonder how he’s going to impact the Lakers in the playoffs.