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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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20 turnovers including 7 from LeBron, many totally unforced. The good news is we shot horrible from deep, turned the ball over 20 times, missed two dunks from LeBron and AD, and yet, still won the game by 14 points. Like last year, Lakers expose teams as being inferior the more the series progresses. Lakers in 5.
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Good fiver as usual, Jamie. And yes, Lakers are starting to look like the Lakers.
1. Aways great to see LeBron still has a switch and knows exactly when to flip it. No settle threes in the third quarter. Instead, it was LeBron going downhill and attacking the rim relentlessly. Answered any questions about whether he can still do it. That ankle is obviously not 100% but that’s not going to stop LBJ.
2. AD dominating. Yes, this is going to be the year when he takes the baton from LeBron and wins his first NBA Finals MVP award. AD to average a 30+ point double double for these playoffs. If Lakers win it all, AD will cement his place as the Lakers next great and heir to LeBron James in purple and gold.
3. Dennis has his warts but he is no shrinking violet and if we can create enough space to empower him to attack the rim, he’s a championship weapon. My guess is he goes for more money and a bigger role than what the Lakers can provide. Lakers more likely to add a player like DRose for less at the point next year. Give Dennis credit for not being afraid to be a player.
4. League needs to change the rules to eliminate plays that are not basketball plays, like the cheap shot by Booker. Looks like CP3 IS mentoring him. League needs to eliminte those intentional fouls to prevent fast breaks. Intentional fouls should always be 2 shots and the ball. Good call by the refs on Booker as he could have caused a major injury to Dennis. Still don’t understand how Draymond’s two hands to the face was not a flagrant. League needs to clean that rule up.
5. Kuzma had best plus/minus on team, scored 8 points and made two of the teams seven threes. He and West played great defense, hit timely threes, and weren’t afraid to shoot. Kuz had third most shot attempts on Lakers. Glad he had the courage to continue to shoot. He and Wes were unsung heroes.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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What was interesting about this game was that it was a 93-92 Lakers lead with 3:40 left when Marc Gasol passed a wide open three and the Lakers got a 24-second violation turnover.
Frank then removed Gasol and went big with AD at the five. What happened next is a 7-0 run where AD at the five shut down the next three Suns possessions with an AD block, Booker miss on challenged 15 footer, and Payne turnover strip off knee.
Meanwhile, LeBron sunk a 1-foot fadeaway, AD splashed a dagger three, and then AD sank a pair of free-throws and Lakers turned 1-point lead into insurmountable 8-point lead in 1:40 minutes and just 2 minutes left in game.
It’s apparent from Vogel’s moves that the Lakers want to minimize AD minutes at the 5 even though that was the key to winning the championship last season. The big question is will AD playing fewer minutes at the 5 continue to be the plan. Right now, that looks to be the game plan. We’ll see if that changes.
Bottom line, AD at the 5 defense and LeBron and AD from deep is how the Lakers won this game.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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There’s no question that we will go as far as LeBron and AD takes us. That’s never changed. The problem is that playing Drummond makes it easier for teams to defend LeBron and AD and harder for the Lakers to stop elite scorers on other teams.
You can ignore the stats and eye test and defend Drummond all you like but the reality is we are not at our best on offense or defense when he plays the five. His presence hurts our offensive spacing and defensive mobility. Doesn’t mean we could still win with great games from LeBron and AD. Just that it won’t be as easy as it would be if we played Davis or Gasol at the five instead.
The gold standard is AD at the five. Unless Anthony is refusing to play the five, which he has outright denied, or we are to ignore the positive numbers for Gasol at the five, there is no reason to risk losing the championship for a Big Penguin pipe dream. At some point, Vogel will have to bench Drummond. Watch and see.
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AD had a height/weight and skill advantage over everyone he faced in the NBA playoffs last year except Jokic and…lo…did we then slot Dwight Howard onto The Joker? Verily, t’is true!
Matchups are the thing, man, that was your astute point last season and the same holds true now. If we lose with AD playing as much at the 5 as he did (7 more minutes than Drummond did by my count, could be off by a minute or so) because Ayton is as fast but stronger that won’t be on Drummond that will be on the coaches not recognizing AD doesn’t have what it takes to out muscle DA in the low post.
Also, there’s nothing wring with that. AD isn’t a prototypical center/PF/whatever. That’s one of the things that makes him unique but also, in some situations, limited. He’ll struggle against bruising big men like Ayton and Jokic, it’s one of the reasons we have 3 other centers on the roster.
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I totally agree LRob. This whole narrative that, somehow, all the blame falls at Drummond’s feet (or in Vogel’s lap for sticking with him) ignores the clear evidence that Drummond rebounded better than any Laker on the floor in his minutes. I also disagree with LT’s narrative that playing Drummond makes it easier to stop AD or LBJ. They let themselves be stopped or they don’t, they are that good.
If we had gotten outscored by 20, they ran us off the floor or we blew so many defensive switches it lost us the game that would be one thing. but that’s not what happened. We missed a shit ton of free throws, played uninspired on both ends and didn’t match the intensity of the Suns.
I’m all for trying what we did tonight, maybe see some Gasol if the offense bogs down but I don’t think we have a better player to contend Ayton than Drummond.
A lot of this would change if Davis and James were healthy and fully conditioned but they’re not. KCP, Kuz, Caruso and Schroeder won’t be enough. We need an inside presence to bully the Suns and that is Dre’.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Just goes to show what playing a little bit harder can do for your team. Hope LeBron and AD are watching and getting pissed at everyone dumping on them. This playoffs has the feel of a changing of guard, somehow. Whether it’s Dame or Jokic, Randle or Trae, or Luka D feels like the NBA is trying to move on from the old guard of superstars and showcasing these young bloods. Lot of life left in all of these series, people.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Good Fiver, Jamie…Thanks,
1. AD needs to eliminate these dud games he brings every so often. The lack of a killer instinct is what keeps him from being the guy to take the mantle from Kobe.
2. LeBron did a lot of settling in the first three quarters of this game to last the rest of the series. When the coach chooses a lineup that makes it hard to get to the rim, what should the superstars say to him? How about AD demanding to play the five and LeBron demanding to be surrounded by shooters. No room for space eaters in today’s game.
3. I have almost lost faith that Frank will make any changes until it’s too late and we’re down 2-0 or 3-1. Don’t know what the fascination is with Drummond. He’s not the answer now and definitely not the answer going forward. Fuck any promises of playing time. We’re in the playoffs now. Go with what won last year. Not a lineup that hadn’t played a single game until two weeks ago.
4. Bench acted like LeBron and AD should carry them. Kuzma and KCP need to pick it up and realize they will be trading chips this summer if the Lakers don’t repeat as champions. Caruso isn’t going to make an All-Defensive team when Booker is hunting him on switches at the end of the game. Learn to stay in front of your man, Alex. What has happened with your defense? Now you’re just trying to score more.
5. That’s the problem with Vogel. He’ll take the approach that our shots just did not fall and there’s nothing to fix despite the paint being packed and the rotations not being made by his low post dinosaur centers. Start Gasol and limit the five to him and AD, Frank. That’s how we’re going to win…provided you make the inevitable moves before it’s too late.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
LAC in 7
POR in 7
LAL in 6
UTA in 6MIA in 7
PHI in 5
BRK in 7
NYK in 7I think a lot of these early series are going to go awhile. Home court still isn’t fully home court, no full houses (yet) and (in my opinion) NBA officiating this season has been terrible.
Not that I’m into conspiracy theories but there’s been plenty of news about how TV ratings are down, Knicks are in for the first time in forever and the money issue the league is facing is also no secret. Easier to have the early rounds go long than later.
FWIW I barely have the Nets moving on. I don’t expect them to be in the conference finals and I think they’re going to vastly under-estimate their opponents in every round to their detriment.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Excellent fiver, Jamie. Loved the 7-game series rolled into 1 comment.
1. The NBA Stats now have added Play-In to Preseason, Regular Season, All-Star Game, and Playoffs as a filter for stats so it now has it’s own statistical category. LeBron looked washed in the first half but came out and played great in the second half. That dagger 34′ three to win the game and the two backdoor passes to Kuzma and Caruso were vintage Playoff LeBron. Here’s hoping his eye is OK and he’ll get some needed rest in the Suns series. Great job as middle linebacker on Lakers’ defense.
2. The only reason Frank went 10 deep is because some of the player chosen for the first half played terribly, namely Drummond and Schroder. Glad to see the adjustment to bench Andre and later Dennis in favor of AD at the five and Wes Matthews at shooting guard. THT played fine while he was in. Frank almost lost the game for us by refusing to end the Drummond experiment early. LeBron saved his ass.
3. Another heady game by Alex, tough defense and clutch plays, especially the two drives and passes to AD and LeBron in the paint. Double digit Alex should get more minutes going forward. He still almost starts every game with a poor pass but at least he still plays great D and hits his shots. He and Kuz are #6 and #7 in the rotation and Wes should be #8.
4. I lobbied for Wes to get key minutes in the last podcast and it was great to see Frank replace Dennis with Wes to close the game. Wes had highest net rating on the team. His defense was again a key. He should be #8 in the rotation going forward.,
5. The thing is we don’t need to have a traditional center to have an advantage on the glass and in the paint. Just play AD at the 5 and LeBron at the 4 and any three of KCP, Schroder, Kuzma, Caruso, Matthews, or THT and we can get needed spacing and still be the bigger more dominant team.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
I touched on it during the podcast but wanted to drop it in a post so as to more thoroughly flesh this out. There is a not so wild possibility that the Lakers and the Warriors could play each other in the playoffs twice. Regardless of who wins or loses tonight. The loser will be set to play the winner of the Spurs/Grizzlies game to snag the true 8 seed. The winner of tonight will be the true 7 seed. But these playin games are considered playoffs (techs are reset, stats start anew, and so on).
So dig on this:
Lakers win, then go on to beat the Suns and then whomever comes out of the Denver/Portland series, let’s just say Denver. We beat the Nuggets minus Murray and voila! We’re in the western conference finals all cheer and dance.
Meanwhile, in the other bracket…
Golden State rebounds to beat let’s just say the Grizzlies because J-MO!!! They build some mojo, beat Utah and then take out the Clippers setting the stage for…
ULTIMATE REVENGE BLOOD SPORT REMTACH 2021!!!!
Lakers vs. Warriors…again, the return of the revenge.
If that’s not the craziest playoff scenario ever envisioned feel free to drop a 1-up.
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Honestly I don’t think this has happened in any playoffs in any sport ever. Could happen in the East, too, but (and let’s be honest here) who really cares what happens to the Celtics?
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Like Jamie and I discussed on the LFB podcast, everything is going to hang on how well LeBron and Anthony play and whether Frank can replicate his masterful management of the Lakers’ playoff lineups and rotations like he did last year.
With the Warriors poised to play small ball with Draymond at the five, we won’t have to wait long to see what Frank will do. Ideally, Dray at the five should be countered by AD at the five but that would mean not starting Drummond in his first postseason (not playoff) game with the Lakers. Will that happen? I hope so.
On the other hand, the Lakers have handled Steph better than most teams with Dennis Schroder and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope doing a great job sticking on Curry and the Lakers doubling and trapping him and forcing other players to beat them. The single Play-In game doesn’t give you a 7-game series to make adjustments so it will be interesting to see how Frank approaches the game. Will he make the move to AD to the five to start the game? Or will he try to out-big the Dubs? That’s the big question.
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Great points Buba, thanks. The depth is both a blessing and a curse. I still feel like a lot of roles on the team are fairly unsettled compared to last season. The bonus is we have a wider variety of skills and weapons to deploy. It certainly is going to be interesting to watch and fun to experience.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
The NBA is creating an award named after The Captain, our very own Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. The winner (who will be announced during this season’s playoffs) will get $100,000 to donate to the social justice charity of their choice. 4 additional finalists will get $25,000 to donate, as well.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Perfect title for the fiver, Jamie. This was a GRITTY win over a GRITTY team.
1. Loved watching AD cup his hand around his ear looking at Spike Lee and asking what you say now, Spike. The perfect example of dropping the mike on Spike.
2. THT trying to support why the Lakers refused to include him in the trade for Lowry. Game winner tonight. Game sealer against the Nuggets. No way, Frank cannot include the kid in the rotation.
3. Health. May, we be injury cursed this year. AD feeling great and then gets mugged over and over by Knicks. Never appreciated how 82 games regular season allows time to heal and recover that this compact 72 game season doesn’t.
4. The rotation. Every time Frank tries to narrow the rotation, something happens and a player left out gets a chance and plays his way back into the rotation. Ergo THT, Wes Matthews. Tonight, Dre makes a case for why he should still start. I think we’re going to see everybody get their moments this playoffs.
5. Loved how AD competed. Defending Julius and then Derrick on the same play. This is what separates him from the traditional DPOY, which is usually a shot blocker who does little else. Ef the DPOY award. AD is the best defensive player in the league.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great fiver, Jamie. Thank you.
1. Forcing role players to beat us. Yes, Lakers did a great job on Book, CP3, and Ayton. I also agree 100% with your comments about offensive players creating contact to get foul calls. This needs to be changed so it’s a no call or offensive foul depending on the advantage gained. Lots of ghost calls defending Book.
2. Acceptance of roles. Great point, Jamie. I would add I even think we’re seeing some guys expand their roles successfully. The perfect example for me has been Caruso’s scoring the last two games. While I’ve been critical of his defense, I’ve loved how he is attacking the paint and looking to score or get to the line. Good to see Dre, Trezz, Wes, and others contribute and support teammates.
3. This was the first few games we’ve seen the Anthony Davis who starred in the playoffs last year. Most important were his shooting. Last few games, he’s make his paint shots, midranges, threes, and free throws (15 of 17 last night), which is key to his effectiveness on offense and impacting defense with stocks. This is the AD who might steal the Finals MVP award from LeBron this year.
4. Great to see Wes back in the rotation and hitting his shots. I personally think he is maybe our best guard defender, even better than Caruso and Caldwell-Pope because he can defend bigger guards and wings. Right now, his 105.2 DEFRTG is 5th on team after Caruso, LeBron, THT, and Gasol.
5. Lots of great positive news about LeBron and his ankle to make us optimistic that he will return tomorrow. Love hearing from Woj that LeBron’s had heavy full court action with hard cutting and has not had any pain. That along with AD’s great play give us hope Playoff LeBron and Playoff AD will be back, which is bad news for all of the other NBA teams in the playoffs.
Prediction: Lakers take the Suns in 5 games in the first round. Healthy LeBron and AD will turn this playoffs into a similar march to victory as last year. Congrats to Suns for winning #2 seed. Sorry but your reward is playing the Lakers in the first round.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Thanks for the fiver, Jamie, but we do have some differences of opinion.
1. Agree 100% that this was a great game by AD. Loved that he was hitting his threes, wish he could get back to 85% on free throws, clutch block in last two minutes. AD playing well was more important than winning or losing this game. Lakers will still have a chance no matter what seed if LeBron and AD are healthy.
2. Second silver lining is the aggressive play by KCP. He’s stepping into his threes, taking the wide open midranges, and finishing well attacking the rim. Several strips on Blazers’ players attacking the rim. Hopefully, we’re starting to see Playoff KCP, who was our fourth best player in the playoffs last year.
3. Refereeing has seemed to be against us during the last two weeks of tough losses. That was a key play there and Frank might have been wiser to not have used up his challenge on the bump foul called on KCP in the first half. Always need to save the challenge for game turning situations late in the game. This was a perfect example of why you don’t waste a challenge early.
4. The turnovers were actually 8 in the first quarter, zero in the second and third quarters, and then 6 killer turnovers in the last quarter, including 2 to start the quarter. This was a game where having Caruso as your primary playmaker was a huge disadvantage. While he was only charged with 1 turnover, there were at least a half dozen terrible passes by Alex that led to turnovers or were luckily avoided. Guy is not a point guard and should not be given those responsibilities going forward. But good scoring game by Alex, which kept us in the game.
5. it al least appears Frank has chosen Drummond and Gasol to play and Harrell to sit, which is the right decision right now. The next step, of course, is starting Gasol and bringing Drummond off the bench to play against second string centers.
6. Caruso is not close to being a starter unless we’re missing two or three starters. His defense has suddenly become porous, his playmaking more likely a turnover than an assist, and his decision making, especially when to throw a pass, terrible.
When a player like Alex, who has a history of posting excellent plus/minus and net ratings, suddenly looks to be indecisive and struggling via the eye test, it makes sense to look at his recent stats. Last 15 games, Alex has an OFFRTG of 101.1, DEFRTG of 106.6, and NETRTG of -5.5 (7th) and a Plus/Minus of -3.2. (7th) . Stats say same thing as eye test. Caruso is playing poorly. 7.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.5 topg. His saving grace is he’s been hitting his threes and attacking offensively.
Comparing his as an alternative to Dennis Schroder as the Lakers’ starting point guard is ridiculous. THT can play the point but Caruso is a reserve shooting guard at best. He’s not a point guard and for sure not a starting point guard. Re-watch the game and just look at his passing. Aside from almost throwing the ball away with simply dumb passes at bad angles, none of his passes are ever in the pocket where the receiver wants and needs them. Even his last assist to AD was low and behind him and took a great recovery by Davis to turn it into points. Your Bench GOAT simply cannot play point guard. After his shaky start, notice that the first two starters to go to the bench were Drummond and Caruso. Unless he starts playing better D, Alex will be lucky to get a 3-year $20 million offer from anybody.
If Schroder can’t start because of Covid, THT would be the better option to start at the point than Caruso. The shine has gone off his defense the last 15 games and he’s no playmaker and only a starting point guard if nobody else on the team is healthy. By the way, AC DEFRTG for game was 109.3, NETRTG -5.1, Plus/Minus -8.1, 3rd worst of any Laker who played.
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Hey, Lee. I think this problem he has with his calf and back have also affected his defense. He’s getting backdoored so often it has become embarrassing and after two years of always having a team best or second plus/minus and net rating, he’s really slumped there. Last night, third worst plus/minus for game despite 18 points. The old Caruso who scored 8 points and played elite D is the guy we need. I do think Alex is a player who needs limited rather than heavy minutes so good ppoint.
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Well, that was a complete buzz kill to watch when I got home Sunday night. Suddenly, the Lakers look like the Clippers and the Clippers look like the Lakers. Unless AD recovers quickly, the Lakers are going to suffer a first round flame out with serious implications of a dramatic rework this offseason.
1. Suns obviously wanted this more than the Lakers. Even before Davis’ injury, the Lakers were struggling to hit shots and play defense. Deandre Ayton has been what the Lakers had hoped Andre Drummond would be. Drum has averaged 5.5 points in the last two games as Ayton had ate him for lunch and dinner. Watching Lakers fall to CP3 Suns leaves a terrible bad taste in my mouth.
2. Frank’s coaching decisions have been very questionable. Gasol should start game 5 and Drummond should play against Suns backup center. I’m starting to think the second worst decision the Lakers made was to sign Andre Drummond. It has created nothing but chemistry and strategic problems for the Lakers. I have to feel that the team’s chemistry has suffered as a result. For sure, the rotations have been chaotic. Problem is you cannot trust Dre on offense or defense. Just too lackadaisical.
3. It’s almost like the Lakers have too many players with major flaws that prevent the coach from narrowing the rotation. Unlike last year, we don’t have the luxury of avoiding the tougher teams and being able to make adjustments after giving up a game. If we lose tomorrow, we will be facing an elimination game on Thursday, an elimination game that losing would mean a first round flame out. Imagine the Clippers fans delight at the Lakers fate. Maybe Vogel needs to make a major change. We’re not going to win anything with Drummond at the five.
4. Bench sucks. Everybody on it has flaws. Caruso is a terrible passer. 4 turnovers and several more than we were just lucky bounced our way. A coach who has no clue. Players who cannot contribute two good games in a row. Time this offseason to tear the entire team apart and find a third superstar. This team only won because last year because of the bubble and good health. Lakers about to be rudely exposed.
5. Gasol for sure. Adding Drummond was just a pipe dream that’s caused chaos and indecision on the team. He doesn’t have the talent or smarts to impact big games. Adding him was a major mistake by the front office and coaching staff.
Frankly, I’ve lost faith that Frank can make the moves to win this series. Our superstars are being outplayed and our role players are crap. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Suns win the series in 6 games.