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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Reality has begun to sink in. Three things are true:
-At the start of the season I picked the Nuggets to go all the way (with the Heat coming out of the East, I believe but I’ll have to go back and listen to that podcast to be sure).
-After the trade and the first two series my Laker Fan Goggles convinced me the new-look Lakers could take Denver in 6 games with the only swap being we’d win game 2 in Denver after adjusting to the altitude.
-My Laker Goggles were wrong and my mind was spot on to start the season. Up until the playoffs I didn’t see anyone stopping Denver…except the Lakers and the Heat, maybe Boston if they could get Tatum to be consistent (they have not). It’s not what most of planet Earth wants but it looks like they’re gonna get Denver-Miami.
Anyhow, the game.
1) Lakers continued to have no answer to Jamal Murray. Over two quarters and two different games Murray went absolutely bonkers against the kitchen sink the Lakers threw at him torching us for 53 points. The tandem between Murray and Jokic reminds me a lot of the Pau-Kobe Konnection but less lopsided. Either player is comfortable sliding into the alpha role and then again back out of it, acquiescing to the other’s greatness without ego.
2) Lakers thought they had Jokic in a box, didn’t take advantage of it, then he broke out of the box. Through 3 quarters Jokic looked fairly pedestrian and our chances of getting back into the series looked pretty good. Then the 4th quarter came, he had plenty left in the tank unlike in Denver when he ceded the spotlight to Murray, and he finished us off in game 4 flipping Denver’s script mildly enough for the Lakers, again, to have no answer.
3) The Denver Nuggets, as a whole, are deeper and better than the Lakers. The core of the Nuggets (Joker, Jamal, MPJ) have been together for 5 seasons and through a lot together. Aaron Gordon and KCP were dynamite pick ups for them. Bruce Brown has been stellar. Their bench, even though it has been outscored in most games by our bench, has had more of an overall impact on the game. Points are but one facet of the jewel that makes up an NBA game. The Nuggets have simply been the better team in the facets that matter the most: grit, clutch scoring, poise, and execution under pressure.
4) D-Lo shrinking big time. Even the ESPN announcers were saying Russell had become un-playable. His three point shot has left the series, his defense has always been questionable (at best), and when he’s not scoring he doesn’t find other ways to contribute. He’s a series defining -53, which only tells part of the futility tale. I have never been sold on D-Lo, dude can make shots but lacks that killer mentality you want in one of your top 3 players. Post game he himself had no answers which never bodes well. Feels like he could go full 1-2-3 Cancun on us in game 4 a la Nick “Wasn’t Long For the Team After That” Van Exel. He could do a lot by coming out a lot more aggressive in game 4 and make the Nuggets think about guarding him more but no matter what adjustment he and the staff come up with it’s likely too little, too late.
5) Coach Ham’s rookie status is showing. In my opinion Michael Malone is one of the 3 best coaches in the NBA. Without pissing anyone off he has managed a core group through injuries, role adjustments, an MVP unable to get as far as they have this season and all in the tough Western Conference. You could have heard a pin drop when the Nuggets won the #1 seed in the west, so little was the fanfare. Same went for every team they dispatched in the playoffs. Evidently, when people ask for “what historical games” proof of the Nuggets ability to win they forget that it actually took historical games from both Durant and Brooks to get that to 7 games. We ain’t come close to matching what Phoenix brought to their series. Maybe beating the Lakers will elevate their rep, and winning a title would certainly cement both Malone’s and Jokic’s greatness, but I kind of doubt it. They’ll say the same things they did about Miami getting to the NBA Finals in the Bubble or some such silliness. I’m not fooled, the Nuggets are kicking our ass and might go all the way.Should have never believed in those Laker Goggles. FWIW I’d like to see what this team, as-is for the most part, can do with a pre-season and 82 games to come together. The chemistry of the Nuggets is showing as much as their talent. Frankly, at this stage, it ain’t about talent. Everyone has talent at this point of the playoffs. It comes down to intangibles things that just don’t show up in the box score. In a lot of ways the Lakers are now built incorrectly, as well. We’re built for LeBron and AD to carry the majority of the load on both ends and they’re simply not up to the task, especially James. Not anymore. My big fear is he ends up getting surgery on that foot this summer, it’s obviously affecting his jump shot and has since he came back from whatever rehab he did before the season ended.
Same for AD. There’s a part of me that thinks it’d be best for both to get whatever issues they have in their feet fixed as best they can. There’s another part of me that knows that, if they go that route, the Lakers are basically done for the next 5-6 years unless they luck into a star or someone forces their way here.
I’m not too bummed, honestly, still got a game to work with and make this interesting. Win at Crypto tomorrow and see what you can do in Denver. Would like to avoid a sweep but Laker History tells us a sweep is actually the most likely (the Lakers have never forced a game 5 hen down 3-0). There will be a more positive post talking about what this team was able to accomplish post-trade deadline but for now we’re dealing with where we’re at.
I guess this wasn’t so short, lol…
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Play the same way we have and this won’t be pretty. We’ve seen what a lack of 48 minute focus and intensity has done to Boston. Lakers want to change this sad story they gotta do it tonight. We are not a pretty team, we are not a jump shooting team, we are a heavy weight boxer that pummels their opponent with body blows. If we don’t accept that we will lose. Lose and we might get swept. Get swept and a lot of good things that have happened will be easy to overlook. I think a lot of these guys should be Lakers going forward but I suspect Rob and Co. might think differently. Win, win again, the pressure will high for everyone. The higher the pressure the more I think it favors LBJ and AD but that means winning tonight.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
A lotta these are going to be the same in any series and that’s because, at it’s core, winning basketball comes down to managing the same few things.
1) Control the glass (whoops in game 1). It is crucial we rectify the outrageous rebounding differential we endured in game 1. Especially on the offensive glass. One and done has to be the way forward. Anything else and we don’t have a chance.
2) Pick your poison with Jokic. His 34 points we can absorb. It’s when those also come along with over 10 assists meaning he was responsible for (at a minimum) 62 points and probably more. Honestly it’s probably closer, if not over, 70. One man cannot create 70 points/game and we expect to win. Gotta keep that number under 60. I’d prefer he score 45-50 and have 5 or 6 dimes because that means the Denver attack is less multi-faceted.
3) Don’t let Murray shoot over 50% from anywhere. Another “whoops in game 1” as Murray shot 12-20 overall, and 4-8 from three. Now one of those was a H.O.R.S.E. shot that I would dare him to make again but the fact remains we left him wide open far too often and he got to the rim far too easily. Is this a byproduct of the attention and defensive focus that The Joker creates? Absolutely but we can, and must, do better.
4) Our team has to be better than their team. AD and LBJ will, essentially, cancel out Jokic and Murray. That means the rest of the Lakers have to beat the rest of the Nuggets and they didn’t show up until it was too late. Other than Rui nobody had significant impact off the bench, D-Lo and Schorder combined for 14 points on 6-14 shooting (mostly D-Lo’s fault but Schroder was not aggressive enough going at anyone on Tuesday and wasn’t the defensive factor that off-set his lack of scoring punch). We won our other series by getting solid overall production from the starting 5 and someone off the bench stepped up big in the wins. That’s the formula we need to continue to embrace.|
5) Continue to adapt. We saw a late-game adjustment almost work and if LeBron takes it to the hole against Murray instead of settling for herky-jerky threes and trying to draw a silly foul we may be talking differently. Maybe we start Rui, maybe we start Lonnie for a little more size and speed to start and swap Hachimura onto Jokic situationally. We definitely need players on the floor who will crash the glass and, frankly, that’s not either D-Lo or Dennis. They stand and wait for the ball to bounce to them and we need guys getting their feet off the floor and crashing the glass. The Nuggets will likely have already figured out a decent counter to Hachimura on The Joker (and a lot of that success was also the dude probably got a little gassed by the 4th quarter). We can’t always do a rope-a-dope and come out heavy in the 4th. We need to come out punching better at the start and maintain that ferocity. Everyone should be adjusted to the altitude by now, that’s a crappy excuse anyhow. Lakers need to start with fire, not find it when it suits them.
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Lakers are going to start Rui Hachimura instead of Dennis Schroder with Rui being primary defender of Nikola Jokic. Ham will mirror AD and Rui with Joker’s minutes.
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Nice post Jamie, I think the Lakers will mix up the coverages on the Joker. You will see Rui, AD, maybe Lebron at times, he’s the strongest guy in the game. They may even dust Thompson off for a few minutes. I don’t think you can give the Joker a steady diet of any one coverage. He will eventually figure it out. TNT had a good point. You can’t let him dribble the ball up. You can let him walk into an action. They also mentioned putting him in pick and rolls as much as possible. You want to wear him down. He can block some shots but over all he is not a good defender.
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Nice post Jamie, I think the Lakers will mix up the coverages on the Joker. You will see Rui, AD, maybe Lebron at times, he’s the strongest guy in the game. They may even dust Thompson off for a few minutes. I don’t think you can give the Joker a steady diet of any one coverage. He will eventually figure it out. TNT had a good point. You can’t let him dribble the ball up. You can let him walk into an action. They also mentioned putting him in pick and rolls as much as possible. You want to wear him down. He can block some shots but over all he is not a good defender.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Had issues logging in but now I’m back.
Solid game against Denver, need to compete better on the glass and I like Rui on Joker.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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EXcellent fiver, Jamie. Getting harder and harder not to be optimistic about this team and their chances.
Adding Lonnie to the rotation was a huge move and, as you pointed out, should help replace Reaves scoring for the bench. Lakers proving they, not the Warriors, are the deeper team with more player who can give you a win on a given day.
LeBron being free to figure out what we need to win is going to become one of this team’s huge strengths. Loved how James became the point guard in the fourth and willed the Lakers to dominate that last 3 minutes.
Warriors are learning that this Lakers team is much better than they thought. What they’re watching is a team that’s getting better each game and each series. Last series, they couldn’t close the Grizzlies in 5. Tomorrow night, they will close the Dubs in 5.
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There’s no doubt it all starts and ends with LBJ and AD but having the potential of up to 5 different guys who can step into a scoring void and push us over the top is a huge luxury. Where the Warriors have specialized guys at a lot of positions we have more dynamic players who can fill out a couple different roles and those permutations are going to be tough for any team to stop altogether. Sometimes guys will miss shots or we won’t get to the line enough to offset our poor three point shooting. But it’s hard to see that happening over an entire 7 game series. It could, in theory, and every round just gets harder, but this team is showing a lot of heart right now.
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Nice post Jamie, I think the next game we need to just stay attached into the stretch and let LeBron orchestrate. The Warriors will probably score more this game, so will have to score more as well. They will hit more 3’s. While can’t win a 3 point shoot out, we will need to do better than 24%. And if the Warriors go tiny again we need to get AD the ball more than we did in the 2nd half. They don’t have an answer for him.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Great fiver, Jamie. Love to see the enthusiasm.
AD shows up tonight as well as Playoff LeBron.
Lakers drive stake into heart of Dubs’ Dynasty.-
Nice post Jamie. It really all boils down to playing with force. We out shot the Warriors from 3 last game but that was an anomaly. We probably won’t again. We win with paint points and free throws. The Warriors are a jump shooting team and we’re last in drawing fouls. We were first and that must continue. I have given up on trying to predict AD’s scoring output. But with the exception of game 2 of this series he has been a beast on defense and the boards. We have enough firepower to make up for a sub par offensive night but as we saw in game 2 we get our ass handed to us if he is not stellar on the boards and defensively. This game is every bit as important as last game. It’s exceptionally difficult to win on the Warriors home court. I don’t see a let down at home for this team. I don’t expect another blow out, the Warriors are too good but I do see us winning. The Lakers crowd will supply the energy. first 3 games have been a series of chess moves by each coach. But I wonder how many more moves either coach has. This will be the 8th time we have played each other and by now each team knows the other pretty well. I don’t know if there is a magic move left for either team. It will boil down to execution and force.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Aloha James, nice post. While I wasn’t surprised we lost, it was the way we lost which was disappointing. After a good first quarter it seems like we just gave up when the Warriors had their run in the 2nd. The thing that bothered me most about AD was his defense. While he offense has come and gone in this playoff run, his defense and rebounding remained elite. Until yesterday. I wonder if the 44 minutes he played in the first game impacted his energy level. The Warriors had the 2nd best home record this year but they had the 2nd worst road record. Win our home games and we move on.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
4 Comments-
Great fiver, Jamie. What I want to see next is them not being satisfied with stealing 1 game on the road and coming in and anticipating the Dubs going small and surprising them by stealing a second game on the road and putting their backs to the wall.
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Great Post Jamie, the thing I’m interested in is the rotations. Coach Ham smelled blood and an opportunity to steal the first game. AD played the entire 2nd half and was visibly spent by the end of the game. LeBron also played 40 minutes. With a road win in their pocket I wonder if he will scale back AD and Lebron’s minutes. As for Dennis, this was a good sign. He was either questionable or a game time decision for the entire Memphis series due to his sore Achilles. This was the first game he wasn’t on the injury report. Dennis even mentioned he was feeling better in his post game interview. I’m hoping he is a 100% now. He is a difference maker on both sides of the ball.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Excellent fiver, Jamie.
I’m actually not worried about the ability of the Lakers’ offense to score on the Warriors’ defense. I think we’re going to destroy them on offense and Anthony Davis is going to dominate Green and Looney in the paint. I also think Dlo is going to have a stellar series against his old team.
The key to me is the Lakers’ defense need to be able to slow down the Warriors’ offense. I think you’re right that it’s going to be hard to play Steph and his teammates in a one-on-one situation. That would mean defenders trailing after Steph and Klay put them in jail. No thank you.
Lakers need to switch everything on defense and trap whenever they try to isolate Russell. That will keep defenders in front of shooters and allow AD to stay midway where he can cover the ball and the rim. Switch everything is the only way to preserve energy as the Warriors run around like wildmen.
The formula for the Lakers to win is simple. Outscore the Warriors in the paint and at the line by more than they outscore us from the 3-point line. Offense needs to score in the paint and from the line. Defense needs to limit paint points and free throws. KISS!
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
1) one of the few 4th quarter load management games. Game was over by the 3rd quarter. Awesome.
2) D’Angelo’s best playoff game eve? D-Lo isn’t known for his playoff performances but he turned in a stellar showing tonight.
3) Did it with D. This is the way. It has always been and always will be. Shiny offenses find it tough in the playoffs. We won with grit and efficiency in our scoring.
4) Rest achieved. Any extra rest. For LBJ and AD is a good thing.
5) Tighter rotation. Loved how Ham went with an 8 man rotation to close this out. Solid adjustment. -
Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
1) Crypto brought it in game 3, we’ll need that and more to push us to a commanding 3-1 lead and keep home court.
2) R & R need to continue elevating their respective games. Hachimura has been exactly what we need off the bench as a release valve scorer. He may not fit the (in my opinion over-rated) “3 and D” label but he’s a a solid defender who has more of a mid-range arsenal so who cares where the points come from. He’s taking pressure off James and Davis as much as Reaves does who is doing a great job filling whatever gaps the starting 5 has on a by-game basis.
3) Take what the Grizz are showing. A lot of our turnovers come from forced passes inside or dribbling into multiple defenders. Gotta keep the TO’s low tonight because you know Memphis is bringing a physical game to the arena. We want to score in the paint but we want to limit their transition points just as much.
4) AD needs to stay out of foul trouble. This is easy to say, harder to do because you never know how the whistle will blow. Keep defending and contesting and use that challenge wisely.
5) Kick them while they’re down. Memphis needs this game as much, if not more, than we do. Lose and they need to win out which means winning a game here where they haven’t done so, yet. Don’t give them a shred of confidence. Stay on you assignment, communicate on D, and find the open man. Maybe Malik has a big game, maybe we see LW4 or Bamba (kinda doubt it on both but you never know) but however this shakes out let your defense be your guide.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Just finished watching the game.
1) Loved how we aggressively attacked the paint all night long. Hit some threes and midrange jumpers but gestated where we need to: on the inside.
2) Rui and Reaves are playing their way into D-Lo’s money. Making a lot of tough choices this summer, potentially.
3) AD needs to play like this the rest of the season, however long it goes. The defense, rebounding and forcing his game into the paint are all big “must haves”.
4) Loved LeBron’s response to Brooks’ clowning. Guess any kind of nutshot gets you tossed these days. That’s fine, what I liked was how poised the Lakers have stayed and gotten under the clown tactics Memphis deploys. Talk gets you a little mileage in the regular season but it’s cheap in the playoffs.
5) Ja caught fire but his team couldn’t ride up. More and more this reminds me of when Philly and LA met in the NBA Finals and AI willed them to one history altering game. Ja wont be enough unless some other guys do, too. -
Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
1) Contain PG’, don’t let Memphis get into the paint
2) win the glass battle.
3) Keep TO’s under 12
4) Get D-Lo going
5) AD needs to dominate-
My quick fiver:
1. Triple double from LeBron
2. 30/20 from AD
3. 20/10 from Rui
4. 20/10 from Dlo
5. 15/5/5 from Reaves-
Bonus Fiver:
1. Dennis 15/5
2. Mo Bamba – 2 blocks
3. Lonny Walker – 2 threes
4. Vando – 2 threes
5. TBJ – 2 threes
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
1) Keep the PG inefficient. Whether Morant can go or not we can’t let the PG position for Memphis turn this around
2) Control the glass by helping AD. Davis can hold his against J-cubed but he can’t keep Bane and Brooks off the glass, too. Guards and forwards need to put a body on, hard.
3) Expect Memphis to swing hard and early.Lotta attitude and swag in that Memphis locker room but also a huge amount of pride in what they’ve built and accomplished. We need to match whatever physicality gets tossed at us without escalation. We need to play with power and poise.
3) No sleepwalking out of halftime. Or in any quarter. Hard 48.
4) Role players need to shine but it might look differently. We may not get the raw points from the bench but they just need to match the Memphis bench which may be missing a key player if Jones ends up starting. Don’t let your offense dictate your intensity.
5) Drive another nail home. Win tonight and it gets really hard to see Memphis advancing. Up 2, heading home certainly puts sweep on the map and if they can get it done does wonders for the older players and our coaching staff in terms of planning for the next round.Go Lakers!
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I think part of our problem is fatigue. We just have not had the energy to close out games. No way LeBron should be playing 43 minutes. Same goes for AD. They each have played 40 or more minutes throughout the playoffs and it’s catching up to them. We have had to play with playoff intensity since the trade deadline. Denver began resting guys in March. Hopefully we can pull one out Monday and avoid the sweep. I’m okay with the season if we do lose. We really exceeded all my expectations.