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LakerTom wrote a new post
WOW: The Los Angeles Lakers are reportedly in “Advanced Discussions” with the Sacramento Kings to acquire guards Keon Ellis and Malik Monk, sources tell me.Expect a deal to be finalized shortly. pic.twitter.com/kXR3EVzdwA— Jake (@playoffjake) December 27, 2025
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LakerTom wrote a new post
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Lakers In Sudden Midseason Crisis! What Can Redick and Pelinka Do? This Lakers season has been as chaotic as any in history. The highs and lows, dreams and nightmares, buzzer-beating wins and blow-out losses have been fast and furious. Suddenly, it’s now JJ and Rob in the hot… pic.twitter.com/1XwOU3jNCC— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 27, 2025
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Tom, you’re not wrong that this season has been a roller coaster, but calling it a full‑blown “midseason crisis” might be giving chaos a little too much credit. What we’re seeing is a team that knows it’s underperforming and still has the pieces to turn things around if Redick and Pelinka stop treating the roster like a puzzle missing half the box.
The highs and lows aren’t the problem—they’re the symptom. The real issue is consistency and identity. When the Lakers lean into pace, defensive pressure, and let their role players actually play their roles, they look like a team that can beat anyone. When they fall back into slow, stagnant, LeBron‑centric possessions, they look like they’re stuck in 2018.
JJ and Rob aren’t in the hot seat because the team is doomed—they’re in the hot seat because the window is still open, and everyone knows it. A smart rotation tweak here, a decisive roster move there, and suddenly the narrative shifts from “crisis” to “course correction.”
The season isn’t lost. It’s just waiting for someone in that front office to stop reacting and start leading.
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Thanks for reading and commenting, Buba.
We’re 29 games into the 82 game season or 35%. We just lost three straight blowouts and our second or third best player just suffered an injury that will likely keep him out for at least 6 weeks. I consider that a major event for Lakers season.
Austin will be reviewed in 4 weeks and is likely to miss at least 6 weeks, which would take us to the February 5th trade deadline, at which point the Lakers will have played another 20 games to go with the 29 they just played. With 49 of 82 games played, the Lakers will have played 60% of their season.
Lakers grand plan is to optimize next summer when they will have at least 2 first round picks and 1 second round pick plus up to $80 million in cap space to sign their own free agents as well as other team’s free agents. With luck, Lakers could steal a couple of elite 3&D forwards in Eason and Watson from the Rockets and Nuggets with their cap space and maybe use the picks to sign-and-trade for Walker Kessler.
I believe they will use their one first round and one second round picks this season to get an elite 3&D starting small forward and a quality backup center who can block shots. Lakers willing to go-all in for this season but top priority will still be pulling off a summer bonanza by adding a half dozen 3&D players.
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Lakers In Sudden Midseason Crisis! What Can Redick and Pelinka Do? What Can Head Coach JJ Redick Do Right Now?Lakers’ young head coach JJ Redick is obviously feeling the pressure as his defenseless Los Angeles Lakers not only suffered their third straight loss by blowout but… pic.twitter.com/sp6rfMZ0bb— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 27, 2025
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Lakers In Sudden Midseason Crisis! What Can Redick and Pelinka Do? What Can General Manger Rob Pelinka Do Right Now?Rob Pelinka may have been a better fit as general manager of the smaller, less ambitious Buss family version of the Lakers than the larger analytics and… pic.twitter.com/seUXTmZ3vu— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 27, 2025
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I’m not sure any of the players listed can be had for those price points but I know I don’t have a ton of faith in Rob pulling it off.
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Not sure what you can get for mostly broken down Gabe Vincent and Rui. Those are our best trade chips. Gets a little more interesting if, due to injury and contract status, they entertain offers for Reaves and one of those guys w/the 2031/32 FRP. Losing Reaves for pennies on the dollar hurts but not sure it hurts more than him signing a big deal and having a chronic calf injury. Trust the medical staff in that one. Which is an area I wish Mark was already throwing money at…
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I don’t think Rob is going to be making any decisions on his own. I think the free agents added last summer were all approved by Walter’s transition advisors. Mark Walter has Dodgers top two execs overseeing everything that Rob does.
You also notice JJ referring to the guys upstairs who are feeding lineup data directly to him. Data is going to drive all decisions. The Lakers finally have a vision and direction. Get aboard or get left behind. I’m calling on a future Rob Pelinka resignation for sure. Sooner than expected but before next summer.
Next summer, Lakers get LeBron’s expiring cap space to sign their own and steal a couple of elite free agents. Mark Walter is going to want his general manager and head coach in place for next season. Rob and JJ are working for their Lakers’ future this season.
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
4 weeks, 15 games until the grade 2 calf strain is re-evaluated. That will remove Austin from post season award consideration, likely from being voted in as an All Star and basically marring what had been shaping up to be a career defining season into one defined by availability or lack thereof.
As a result, the Lakers that can play need to pivot and find a new set of rotations that will allow them to be more competitive than they’ve been in the last 3 games.
1) Starting 5: Luka, Smart, Vando, LBJ, Ayton. The LBJ/Ayton/Rui minutes are slaughtering us these days. There’s only one position that can really be tweaked. You could argue that Nick Smith Jr. could start but I’m not sure why you would. He’s streaky and not a good defender. Smart is streaky and an above average, potentially elite defender. Same goes for Vando. You could swap LaRavia for Vando and hope starting jump starts his offense.
2) Nick Smith Jr., Bronny (or Smart), Rui, LaRavia, LBJ. LeBron is gonna have to play some center. The Lakers should look to put him at the top of the key with the ball and let him pick the defense apart and have guys moving all the time.
Honestly, there’s not a good, clear way to replace Austin Reave’s production and skill set. He had become that essential to what we do and need. There’s not a guy on the bench threatening to break through, we don’t have many other guys who can score and make plays. This is a challenge for the coaching staff.
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Jamie, you’re absolutely right that Austin’s injury is a gut punch. Losing a guy who had basically become the connective tissue of the offense isn’t something you just “patch up” with a rotation tweak. His blend of scoring, playmaking, and composure was the stabilizer for so many of our lineups. There’s no one-for-one replacement.
But I actually think this stretch is less about replacing Austin and more about forcing the Lakers to rediscover an identity they’ve drifted away from. The last three games exposed how dependent the team had become on his versatility. Now they have to simplify, tighten the rotation, and lean into the strengths they do have.
Your lineup ideas make sense, especially the push to break up the LBJ/Ayton/Rui minutes. That trio has been a black hole on both ends. Starting Smart and Vando gives the team a defensive backbone again—something they desperately need if the offense is going to be this limited. And honestly, if LaRavia is ever going to pop, this is the moment. Sink or swim.
As for LeBron-at-center lineups, I think that’s unavoidable. It’s not ideal at his age, but it’s the only way to unlock the kind of pace, spacing, and decision-making this roster needs to survive without Austin. Put him at the top of the key, surround him with cutters and shooters, and let him orchestrate. It’s not sustainable for 40 minutes a night, but it can win stretches.
The bigger point, though, is this: the Lakers don’t need someone to be Austin. They need two or three guys to give them pieces of what he brought. A little more creation from Nick Smith Jr. A little more defensive chaos from Vando. A little more scoring aggression from Rui. A little more steadiness from Smart. It’s a committee job.
This is absolutely a challenge for the coaching staff—but it’s also an opportunity. Teams either crumble when their safety valve goes down, or they get sharper, tougher, and more intentional. If the Lakers can survive this stretch, they’ll come out of it with a stronger identity and a more battle-tested rotation.
And when Austin comes back? That’s when things get interesting again.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
I’ve landed on a simple conclusion on the 2025-26 Lakers.I don’t think they have it. I don’t think they’re a trade away from getting it. And I don’t think the people who built this roster should be trusted to fix it.Mark Walter should be looking for his next Andrew Friedman.— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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The Lakers have a new owner and no culture worth preserving. They have limitless resources and a very desirable job.You can’t tell me that of anyone who’d want to run the Lakers in 2026, Rob Pelinka is the most desirable option when no other team would reach that conclusion. https://t.co/HCYNWXayk4— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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The Lakers are sort of like the Yankees. They both have the history, market and resources to have the absolute best in every non-player position, so it's weird to me that there are fans who would ever want to settle for "eh he's fine, does some things well and somethings badly." https://t.co/fvc1fzXU9Q— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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Forget about his relationship with Kobe. Forget about the 2020 champion Rich Paul built anyway. Forget about the Luka trade because I’m almost positive Rob doesn’t have any more stupid friends to steal from.Just ask yourself if he’s truly the best possible GM for the Lakers. https://t.co/6lNSCzY32l— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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I think the answer is no. The Lakers have had the same problems for half a decade. They keep trying to solve them with the same outdated solutions. They need to completely rethink their approach to roster-building. The Dodgers did that and look where it got them. https://t.co/NAl8ZAJ3Lv— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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This isn’t “they need a 3-and-D” or “they need a rim protector.”No. They need a wholly different sort of team to support their two best players. They have three FRPs and $55 million in cap space to do that this summer. Is Rob Pelinka really the man you trust to maximize that? https://t.co/teqR8cl3HV— Sam Quinn (@SamQuinnCBS) December 26, 2025
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I mean..I stopped believing in Rob Pelinka a long time ago. I don’t go around calling him Master Class for nothing. It’s out of sarcasm. Dude has always been out of his depth. He absolutely lucked into the Luka trade, botched most of his other chances prior to that, and will probably fire another coach that isn’t the real issue, again. At least we got Nate or Scotty waiting in the wings to grab the reigns.
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Rob has had Luka for 10 months and hasn’t made a single trade to improve this roster lmaoLiterally got gifted Luka and basically got gifted our best center and best defender from buyouts too Mark Walter gotta send him and Jeanie to the unemployment line— 🅿️erSources CEO | Adou Thiero FC (@pelinkaburner) December 26, 2025
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves has been diagnosed with a grade 2 left gastrocnemius strain and will be reevaluated in four weeks.— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) December 27, 2025
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Guess we get a chance to see what the Lakers starting lineup would be without Austin Reaves for the next 4 weeks. Unfortunately, AR won't be able to help the bench while he's out. Tough break that probably should be partially blamed on Rob Pelinka's failure to surround his stars… https://t.co/PcK9hb1IZ7— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 27, 2025
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LakerTom wrote a new post
LAKERS TEAM AND PLAYERS NET RATING FOR LAST THREE GAMESLakers' Net Rating for last three games was -22.2 per game, dead last in the NBA.Players' Net Ratings were just as bad. Only Chris Mañon, Adou Thiero, and Bronny James had positive net ratings, all in garbage time. In… pic.twitter.com/azgtkFr5Tl— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 26, 2025
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
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Bottom line, this team is not good enough to compete and overachieved early in the season. Since LeBron returned, it’s been a train wreck. Only positive is the teams needs are being painfully exposed. Right now, everybody but Luka should be at risk of being replaced, including Reddick if he continues to start the same five players. Pelinka’s failures have become glaring. He cannot be left in charge of building around Luka Doncic. That was a horrid game from Luka last night. Very disappointing.
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Yep. Redick would likely be the first domino to fall. GM would be next. Hard to make a substantial in-season improvement with the singular pick. Hope we can find some combo of players in-house to find a competitive groove. I don’t love JJ because I’ve always seen him as the opposite of Ham who coached a good defense and awful offense. We just swapped problems. Having said that, what do we gain from our 5th coach in 8 seasons or whatever? Not much, there’s no Phil Jackson swimming in Australia waiting to rescue us. Might as well hope JJ learns from the process fast.
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Jamie, I’m right there with you. It’s wild how obvious the fixes seem from the outside, yet we keep drifting further from what was actually working. When Vando starts, the whole identity of the team shifts — the energy, the defensive tone, the physicality. It’s like we forget that he’s one of the few guys who can actually tilt the floor without needing touches.
And the Ayton situation is even more frustrating. We’ve already seen the blueprint. When he’s involved early and consistently, the offense opens up, the spacing improves, and suddenly the Lakers look like a team with purpose instead of one just trading possessions. To go from that to completely abandoning him makes no sense. You can’t expect a player of his caliber to impact the game when he’s treated like a bystander.
What’s happening right now isn’t just disappointing — it’s avoidable. The pieces are there. The formula is there. The coaching staff just needs to stop overthinking and lean into what was clearly working. Until then, we’re going to keep watching a team with way too much talent look way too ordinary.
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Agreed, Ayton, Smart and Vando feel like they can combine and contribute to a positive defensive identity and keep the offense at a respectable level as starters. Only one way to find out. With Reaves set to miss at least the next 15 games it might be time to rethink the whole thing.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
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FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:
The Lakers are officially in full-blown crisis mode.
Whatever early-season good vibes existed are gone after a third straight loss, all of them convincing blowouts. Against the Rockets, this was another uncompetitive and frankly unserious performance. Down by 23 midway through the third quarter, the Lakers once again defaulted to what is becoming an unpleasant habit lately, rolling over in a manner far removed from the championship habits preached throughout training camp. What remained was a disconnected group showing no spirit, no fight, and no cohesion, getting demolished on the offensive glass by a bigger and hungrier Houston team on the national stage.
If the great start and still very respectable 19–10 record have been masking some of the issues evident to anyone watching closely beneath the iceberg, the recent stretch against two contending teams, the Spurs and the Rockets, on the biggest stages has made them impossible to ignore. In those games, this current Lakers team looked a couple of levels below in both physicality and focus compared to what we saw from the Spurs, Thunder, or Rockets.
After the loss against the Suns, I wrote about a system breakdown. Two days later, it seems the time has come for a system reset.
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Today’s notes:
A breaking point?
The starting five is not the only problem, but the most obvious one
Redick calling for a bigger reset?
Rest should start with Luka
1-A breaking point?
JJ Redick has been one of the more honest and straightforward coaches when it comes to postgame media sessions, but even by his standards, this one felt different. It felt like a breaking point.
@ArashMarkazi
JJ Redick: “”It’a matter of making the choice and far too often we don’t have guys who want to make that choice. And it’s pretty consistent who those guys are. Saturday’s practice is going to be uncomfortable. I’m not doing another 53 games like this.”It is impossible to hear that quote and not recognize a line being crossed. Redick was no longer talking about schemes or execution, but about choice, accountability, and going as far as questioning whether some players care enough to be professionals. When a coach goes that far publicly, it signals that boundaries have been crossed and that significant changes are coming.
From here, the Lakers either change and fight through adversity, or collapse.
2-The starting five is not the only problem, but the most obvious one
The first change should be the most obvious one. Last night was one of many exhibits, and the most high-profile so far, of the Lakers’ starting five as currently constructed having no chance of playing competitive basketball against elite units.
The lineup data for the starting five ranks among the worst in the NBA, and larger sample sizes involving combinations of Ayton, Hachimura, and Dončić, Ayton, Hachimura, and James, or even just Ayton and Hachimura, all tell the same story. It is one I have already written about in both my 10-game and 20-game checks.
This starting group opens every game and every half at such a deficit in energy, hustle, athleticism, and speed that against the best teams it cannot be overcome by later injections of effort, usually coming from Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, and Jarred Vanderbilt off the bench. Last night, Ayton and Hachimura delivered one of the least impactful combined 64-minute stretches I have seen from a starting role-player pairing in quite some time. Each finished with just two rebounds on a night when protecting the glass was the top priority.
Swapping one of them out of the starting five, most likely Hachimura, for a higher-motor player will not solve the bigger structural issues around the Dončić, Reaves, and James baseline. But if nothing else, it is the message Redick needs to send.
3-Redick calling for a bigger reset?
Changing the starting five may amount to reshuffling the same cards and would not solve the bigger underlying issues. Listening to Redick over the last few postgame sessions, with how open and direct he has been in his criticism of the players, gives the impression that he recognizes that as well and is calling for a bigger reset.
Can that reset come internally (see more in my last point)? Or will the front office rethink its conservative and patient approach, originally aimed at a larger overhaul next summer, after seeing how uncompetitive this roster has looked against the best teams?
We will see in the coming days as we get closer to the trade deadline, but Redick ending the presser with “we’ve given everybody a chance” felt like a telling final note.
Until then, the first move in crisis management should be to get back to the basics and to the connectivity this group showed early in the season, despite its limitations. Lakers had it last season and earlier this season, but as Redick noted, trying to trick the system can cause the culture to snap quickly.
4-Rest should start with Luka
This loss was even more frustrating for the Lakers as two of their stars, a duo that dominated together earlier in the season, were dealing with lower leg issues that got worse as the game progressed.
Austin Reaves stayed in the locker room and did not return for the second half after aggravating his calf injury from last week. He will undergo an MRI later today.
Dončić, who returned after missing the previous game with a calf contusion, was visibly limping by the end of the game, both during timeout huddles and as he walked to the scorer’s table for his final substitution in the fourth quarter. But even at the start of the game, things did not look better for Dončić. He opened the night poorly, committing four turnovers in first five minutes, and was not the tone-setting, dominant offensive force the Lakers in their current state need him to be. Postgame, the Slovenian superstar again took responsibility and acknowledged the need for change.
Luka Doncic:
“I don’t know what has to change, but something definitely has to change.”
Dave McMenamin
@mcten
Luka Doncic: “Everybody has got to give better effort, starting with me”
8:25 PM · Dec 25, 2025 · 51.1K ViewsBut listening to Redick’s postgame rant, and this is strictly an observation from afar, it was hard to escape the feeling that some of that frustration was also directed at his superstars. James was involved in several defensive and rebounding breakdowns and had one of those ‘is he fully engaged’ games. But James turns 41 in a few days and is clearly not this team’s long-term future. Dončić is.
And that places a different level of responsibility on him. After a high-profile body remake in the summer and an impressive start to the season, he has unfortunately arrived at the exact same spot he was a year ago at this time. Banged up and not at the physical level required to compete with the best. If he wants to be the building block of this franchise, to remain in the MVP conversation, and ultimately to be the best player on a title team, that has to change. He needs a reset, not a remake that the summer is starting to resemble.
Watching him grind through games lately has been difficult, and fair or not, this roster, along with his style of play on both ends and everything that cascades from it, cannot function without its superstar being at the top of his game.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
ROCKETS SPOIL THE LAKERS CHRISTMAS IN L.A. 119-96 🚀 pic.twitter.com/7pAJ3V4Zbq— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) December 26, 2025
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Jamie Sweet wrote a new post
Garbage Xmas present.
1) Reaves out midway. Another calf injury. Hard hit.
2) Too many turnovers. Shooting ourselves in the foot.
3) No D. The coach doesn’t have a good plan and the effort and heart aren’t there. Pathetic all around.
4) LeBron only contributing empty calories. The numbers alone look OK but the impact is lacking. He needs to either focus on D or be more involved in playmaking.
5) Vando hitting threes. Up to 33% for the season, hopefully we can build a defensive identity of some kind around he and Smart.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Lethargic Lakers might need a roster shakeup if they can’t ramp up the energy https://t.co/56wo8bJYMW— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 25, 2025
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FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:
PHOENIX — The Los Angeles Lakers, we’ve known for some time, are prone to nights like this. The nights that skew their point differentials, the nights when they look nowhere close to a team that can contend, the nights when their worst habits shine brightest and their biggest strengths retreat to the background.
It’s why they’ve won 19 total games with just a plus-eight point differential.
As the Lakers pulled their healthy regulars early in the fourth quarter against the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday, everything the Lakers aren’t on the defensive end — aggressive at the point of attack, consistently communicating, constantly covering for one another — had fully eclipsed anything good happening on the other side of the floor.
They had no chance of winning this game, not with this energy, not with this focus, not with this mindset. It didn’t matter that Austin Reaves and Deandre Ayton, who had missed time over the last week, were back. It might not have mattered if Luka Dončić, Rui Hachimura or Gabe Vincent were there.
The Lakers’ 132-108 loss had nothing to do with talent and everything to do with DNA, one team firmly established as a group that plays with physicality and toughness always and another that has to focus its attention and effort on those things.
Last year, Dorian Finney-Smith and Jordan Goodwin played with enough infectious energy to give the Lakers more than enough attitude on a nightly basis. Asked by The Athletic if they have those kinds of players this year, coach JJ Redick issued the obvious response.
“No,” he said.
Redick said the team’s success hinges on a series of choices. While injuries and revolving lineups have slowed continuity on the defensive end, the real challenges stem from mentality. And while players can get healthier, they don’t usually get tougher or more energetic.
“We practice this stuff enough,” Redick said. “We review this stuff enough. We show film on this stuff enough that to me … it comes down to just making the choice. It’s making the choice.
“There are shortcuts you can take, or you can do the hard thing and you can make the second effort. Or you can sprint back or you can’t. It’s just a choice. And there’s a million choices in a game, and you’re very likely not gonna make every choice correctly. But can you make the vast majority of ’em correctly? It gives you a chance to win.”
That the Lakers have to choose to play with the right kind of energy is, in itself, an indictment. For other teams — including some they’re chasing in the Western Conference like Oklahoma City and the surging San Antonio Spurs — that energy is the default.
“The theme with our team, again, is like these young teams that move, we just can’t move,” Redick said. “So it’s like we’re stuck in mud.”
The NBA and NFL are dreaming of a green Christmas, and that’s not cool. Never mind the TV overload. Think of all the people working them.
Publicly, Lakers players are saying that the team can and will find the right gear defensively so they can work together to get stops. Privately, sources inside the locker room acknowledged that the current roster will have to grind its way through the regular season instead of setting its cruise control at 85 and ignoring the brakes.
“We had a guy the other day who hasn’t played a lot, who didn’t know what a flood was in the middle of a game,” Redick said, referencing a common term for overloading the defense to the strong side of the court. “We clearly have some room to grow in that area.”
Internally, there’s some skepticism that the answers to this problem exist inside the locker room. Last year, Redick and the Lakers’ coaching staff called their hardest-playing role players “banshees.” This year, he’s barely uttered the phrase.
This team, the Lakers believe, has a higher ceiling than last year’s. There’s clearly more talent on the roster. But the ways in which it feels incomplete are so clear on nights like Tuesday, especially when a former Laker, Goodwin, is sparking his new team in ways the Lakers so badly need.
Last year, president of basketball operations and general manager Rob Pelinka traded for Finney-Smith. He signed Goodwin to a two-way deal. And the team’s defense improved — even as it lost its anchor Anthony Davis in the Dončić deal.
No one has gone as far as to say the Lakers need to make those same kinds of moves this year. But Redick did say that, for the Lakers to be better more regularly on defense, they’re going to have to approach the game differently.
And it might be easier to change the roster than it is to change a player’s mentality.
“That’s why I said it’s the hard choice. And it’s not the easy choice,” Redick said. “It’s human nature. We all do it. We do it on a daily basis. We make easy choices cause it’s comfortable. Comfortable doesn’t win.”
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Lakers Game Preview: Game 29 vs Rockets https://t.co/EZXUHNBoQr— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 25, 2025
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FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:
Merry Christmas! Hard to beat a holiday filled with NBA basketball, especially with the Lakers on the main stage hosting the Rockets.
There is more good news: Luka Dončić is expected to play after missing the last game with a lower leg contusion, as is Rui Hachimura, so both the Lakers and the Rockets should have their main players available.
This should be a fun matchup between two teams sitting neck and neck in the standings, but with almost opposite advanced profiles. Houston has been one of the league’s best teams by point differential all season. At +8.7, the Rockets rank second in the NBA, behind only the Oklahoma City Thunder. And yet, they’ve also been the league’s most high-profile underachievers late in games. Houston is just 6–8 in clutch situations, with four of those losses coming in overtime. Three overtime losses have come in their last five games, and eight of their ten total losses this season have been decided in the clutch. So far, the clutch process has been too much Alperen Sengun, and too little Kevin Durant, who was brought in to provide shotmaking when things get tight. The result is a league-worst -2.9 win differential—nearly three fewer wins than expected based on how dominant their point margins have been. The Lakers, on the other end, have made their money in the clutch, where they are a league-best 10–0 and own the NBA’s top +4.9 win differential.
So, you could say this is a battle between the league’s biggest underachievers and overachievers.
That shouldn’t matter too much tonight, as both teams have a lot to prove and redeem themselves. Both have been struggling lately, especially on defense, with both coaches questioning their teams’ effort. Over the last three weeks, the Lakers are 3–3, with their defensive struggles well documented. They rank 27th defensively over that stretch. The Rockets’ defensive collapse is much more surprising. They are 2–5 over the same stretch and rank even lower, 28th on defense, after Ime Udoka’s squad was the league’s second-best defensive team before that.
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Lakers (19-9) vs Rockets (17-10) game facts
Rest: LAL on 1 day of rest; HOU on 1 day of restRanking: LAL 16th in Point Diff (+0.4), HOU 2nd in Point Diff (+8.7)
LAL vs HOU 2024-25 record: 2-1
LAL injuries: Luka Dončić (questionable), Jaxson Hayes (questionable), Gabe Vincent (OUT), Rui Hachimura (probable)
HOU injuries: Fred VanVleet (OUT), Alperen Sengun (questionable), Dorian Finney-Smith (questionable), Jae’Sean Tate (questionable)
LAL projected starting five: Luka Dončić (G), Austin Reaves (G), Rui Hachimura (F), LeBron James (F), Deandre Ayton (C)
LAL key reserves: Marcus Smart, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Maxi Kleber, Dalton Knecht, Nick Smith Jr., Adou Thiero
HOU projected starting five: Amen Thompson (G), Josh Okogie (G), Kevin Durant (F), Jabari Smith Jr. (F), Alperen Sengun (C)
HOU key reserves: Reed Sheppard, Steven Adams, Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Clint Capela
Key storyline: How will the Lakers handle another long and very physical team?
The book has been out on the Lakers this season: stifle them with athleticism, length, and pressure, and they can very possibly turn the ball over, get run over in transition, and eventually roll over.
Despite their and Udoka’s reputation, the Rockets haven’t been a heavy on-ball pressure team. They rank just 21st in opponent turnover rate and ninth in opponent free-throw rate, a profile more in line with a conservative defense. That could change with Tari Eason and Dorian Finney-Smith potentially returning to the rotation.
But where the Rockets’ aggressiveness really comes into play is on the glass. They are the NBA’s best offensive rebounding team, collecting nearly 40% of their misses in the half-court. Their starting lineup is massive, with three players at 6’11”, and only Josh Okogie standing shorter than 6’7”. They also often play two-big lineups, with Steven Adams and Sengun overwhelming opponents on the offensive boards.
Rebounding has been one of the rare bright spots of the Lakers’ defense, but the Rockets will present a challenge they haven’t seen before. Houston is typically a slow-paced team (third slowest pace) that doesn’t run much (24th in transition frequency), but this feels like a matchup where Udoka could change his approach. Expect his athletes—Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Eason, and others—to push the pace at every opportunity, trying to expose the Lakers’ biggest weakness: lack of speed.
The test will be very difficult, but also an opportunity for the Lakers to change the narrative and prove they can hang with young, physical teams on a big national stage—after failing to do so in their last attempt, an NBA Cup quarterfinal loss against the San Antonio Spurs.
This is where the Lakers’ hopes lie, and where the key tactical battle for tonight will unfold.
It feels like for the Lakers to have a chance, their offense, especially their two primary pick-and-roll operators, Luka and Reaves, will need not only efficient scoring nights, but also to force Udoka into more aggressive hedging or blitzing coverages, then punish those looks by making plays in 4-on-3 situations. After a stretch in the middle of the season when teams tried to stop Dončić by getting the ball out of his hands with more aggressive tactics, we’ve seen opponents reverse course. That shift followed the Suns showing a template built around a big playing in drop coverage, combined with aggressive shrink and stunts from the sides to reduce the pocket space Dončić likes to operate in with his snake and hostage dribbles.
The Rockets have strong on-ball defenders suited for this approach in Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, and Tari Eason. The challenge comes on the back line, where their slower-footed bigs are not the same rim and lob deterrent that Mark Williams was. So far this season, Udoka has been among the more aggressive coaches when it comes to blitz frequency against top ball-handlers. The Rockets have shown those looks against Jamal Murray, Cade Cunningham, James Harden, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. We’ll see whether he goes to that coverage from the start against Dončić, or instead tests his calf and streaky shot early before reverting to showing two on the ball.
Regardless of the coverage, this is a night when the Lakers’ half-court offense will have to be efficient, and Dončić, Reaves, and James can’t afford to turn the ball over at a high rate. Because of the Rockets’ size and offensive rebounding, the Lakers will likely face a possession deficit, and they can’t afford to make it worse by giving the ball away.
The most likely, and most feasible, Lakers path to success is highly efficient scoring with Luka and the rest being the aggressors, dictating the terms on offense and forcing Udoka, Sengun, and the rest into a reactionary rather than proactive approach.
Rockets on offense | Lakers on defense
Here is where things get tricky for LA. Despite their recent struggles, the Rockets have been scoring at a high rate and rank as the third-best offense in the NBA.
The hope for a Lakers defensive resurrection lies in the fact that Houston is not the fast, downhill attacking team that has given them the most problems. Apart from Thompson, the other two key threats, Durant and Sengun, are more methodical, back-you-down or shoot-over-you types of players. That’s the profile the slower Lakers tend to contain better, rather than explosive drive-by attackers.
The Rockets’ shot profile also suits the Lakers better. They rank second in the NBA in mid-range frequency and last in three-point frequency, a much more manageable profile than aggressive rim-attacking or three-point-heavy teams. There is one caveat. The Lakers tend to shrink and show help off corner shooters, or are simply late on close-outs there, and the Rockets are top three in corner three accuracy at 43.5 percent, while also ranking second overall in three-point percentage.
Again, the offensive glass is where the Rockets are elite, especially when Steven Adams is on the floor. To match the Rockets’ size and bulk, the Lakers will need to repeat what they did on March 31 last season, when they collectively fought and gang-rebounded with smaller lineups against Sengun and Adams. That was one of their better hustle wins of the season, and they’ll again try to expose the Rockets’ slow foot speed on the other end.
Are the Lakers ready for zone and switching?
Udoka potentially going all in on size and trying to crush opponents on the glass is another interesting layer of this matchup. The Rockets have already logged 521 possessions with both Sengun and Adams on the floor (see orange blocks in the chart below), and have also paired Sengun with Clint Capela at times.
Source: pbpstats
With those lineups, Udoka often reverts to zone defense, and the Rockets currently rank second in zone defense frequency. The Lakers haven’t faced much zone this season, so Redick and his team will have to be ready and sharp against it tonight.
Personally, I would be more worried if the Rockets go small, with Durant, Smith Jr., Eason, and Thompson in long, switch-everything lineups, than with them having several targets for Dončić, Reaves, and James on the floor. The Lakers have excelled this season against hedge and aggressive schemes, but they tend to get too stagnant, too ISO-heavy, and too reliant on hero shots against switching defenses.
The Rockets’ ability to change styles, and how the Lakers deal with it, adds another interesting layer to this already intriguing matchup.
Final thoughts
After the last disappointing blowout loss against the Suns, I wrote about system breakdowns and the Lakers’ need for deep introspection. Their flaws feel so evident and so hard to overcome that a major reshuffle seems necessary to address them.
Will tonight’s game prove me wrong and bring hope? Or will it deepen those concerns and reinforce the belief in that diagnosis?
Let’s see how it plays out on the biggest NBA regular-season stage.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Lakers are doing something the other West contenders refuse to do https://t.co/WtawimqaLg— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 25, 2025
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FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:
Surprise, surprise…The Los Angeles Lakers are shopping for an upgrade. While other contenders are standing pat, confident in what they already have, the Lakers are actively searching for help despite sitting at 19–8 and fourth in the Western Conference.
Right now, the Lakers are winning, and they have made some good pick ups in the offseason. Deandre Ayton has been stellar. Even Marcus Smart has been better than expected. But even with that being said, they know that the pieces that make up their current roster just are not enough.
Marc Stein captured that contrast clearly on The Stein Line, writing, “Really only the Lakers loom as a clear-cut playoff team like Minnesota that is known to be shopping for a particular need.”
In a conference loaded with top talent, the Lakers are the rare playoff team openly acknowledging a weakness and trying to address it midseason, which is obviously a good thing.
Why the Lakers are operating differently than other West teams
That weakness is no secret. The Lakers lack a true 3-and-D wing. They desperately need a perimeter defender who can stay on the floor offensively while taking on elite scorers.
Right now, they do not have a player who reliably checks both boxes. And the truth is, against top teams in the West, that gap shows up quickly, especially when the matchup turns physical. If you know anything about playoff basketball, every matchup gets physical.
The Lakers are way more desperate to make a move in the West than the other top dogs. The contrast with Oklahoma City could not be sharper.
The defending champions are off to an absolutely blistering 26–3 start, and their roster looks complete. There is no incentive for the Thunder to disrupt chemistry that is already producing dominant results. Stability is a luxury they have earned.
Other West teams feel similarly comfortable. As Stein noted, “Denver, meanwhile, is said to be pleased with the offensive boost provided by newly acquired Jonas Valančiūnas while remaining bullish on Cam Johnson… The Rockets are starting to regularly see the sort of production they hoped for from Reed Sheppard… San Antonio, too, has every reason to watch its young core continue to blossom rather than chase an older star.”
Each team has a reason to wait. The Lakers do not because their margin is thinner. Stein also cautioned that solutions may be limited, writing that “it’s equally unclear… if a player who can help address the Lakers’ need for a 3-and-D wing… becomes available between now and the Feb. 5 trade buzzer.”
The market may not cooperate, and the Lakers’ asset pool certainly will not make things easy. The Lakers have zero second-round draft picks between 2026 and 2031. Their first round draft capital is not a pretty sight either.
Still, effort matters. The Lakers are going to need to pick up the phone and hope for a taker, especially with the weaker, rebuilding teams in the league.
An example of a team they could call is the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans’ instability makes them an obvious target, and the Lakers should explore every possible opening.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Merry Christmas, Laker Nation! I hope to find either a trade to reshape our roster or a Christmas Day win against the Rockets under the tree. 🎅🎄 #lakeshow pic.twitter.com/ggQZJhcmAA— The Holy Church of Lakerism (@Jgoody0824) December 25, 2025
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LakerTom wrote a new post
It's Lakers vs Rockets for #NBAXmas🕕: 5:00 PM PT📺: ABC, @ESPN📻: ESPN LA 710/980 KFWBPresented by @PechangaCasino pic.twitter.com/B58EQNLjim— Los Angeles Lakers (@Lakers) December 25, 2025
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That would be a much welcome decision. Keon Ellis and Malick Monk are two of my favorite players.