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    ANTI-TANKING IDEAS FROM GM MEETINGS

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    LAKERS' TOP OFFSEASON PRIORITY IS RE-SIGNING AUSTIN REAVES

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    jj SAYS EVERYBODY IS AVAILABLE FOR TOMORROW NIGHT'S GAME

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    • I want the Colonizer lineup..
      Luka
      Reaves
      Jake
      Maxi
      Timme
      Then I’ll enjoy a bologna & mayo sandwich on wonder bread.
      Relax…it’s just jokes…lol

      • It leaves a very effective second unit of LeBron, Rui, Vando, Ayton, & Smart.
        Hard to put together a winning lineup with Luka, LeBron, and Austin.

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    Lakers have named Lon Rosen as President of Business Operations

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    Five top-of-mind NBA topics

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Are the Clippers about to get sunk?

      A true story from Sunday afternoon inside the $2 billion house that Steve Ballmer built (Intuit Dome): I’m using one of the many urinals that the LA Clippers owner is so proud of — there are more than 1,400 toilets in all, if you hadn’t heard — when his booming voice comes through the speakers with a mildly uncomfortable message for those of us in the men’s room.

      “We love No. 2!” Ballmer bellowed as he addressed the All-Star game crowd before tipoff.

      Get your mind out of the gutter: He was talking about Kawhi Leonard.

      Yet with everything that has transpired in Clippers land these past five months, from the early September Pablo Torre podcast that detailed salary cap circumvention allegations surrounding Leonard to the league launching its investigation a few days later until now, the kumbaya vibe between this owner and this star player was quite a sight to see. Especially considering what might come next.

      In the weeks leading up to Ballmer’s big bash, there was a significant upswing in league-wide speculation that the NBA’s hammer is likely to fall on the Clippers. This was a noticeable shift from earlier in the season, when so many seemed to believe that the Leonard/Aspiration scandal might come and go without any substantive punishment being handed down.

      There’s still no official resolution on this front; NBA commissioner Adam Silver indicated on Saturday that the results weren’t yet in from the investigation.

      “I haven’t come to any decisions whatsoever yet on the Clippers’ matter,” he told reporters during his media availability. “As you know, the league office is not directly running the investigation. That’s being overseen by a law firm, Wachtell, in New York. From everything I’ve been told, the Clippers have been fully cooperative. But as I said, I’m not involved day-to-day in the investigation.

      ”I think, as I’ve said before, it’s enormously complex. You have a company in bankruptcy (Aspiration, which gave Leonard a no-show endorsement deal that was allegedly facilitated by the Clippers). You have thousands of documents, multiple witnesses that have been needed to be interviewed. I will say, just in case anyone is wondering, the fact that All-Star is here this weekend has had no impact on the timeline of the investigation. Our charge to the Wachtell law firm is (to) do the work and then come back and make recommendations to the league office, and that’s where things now stand.”

      For the past two decades, when the NBA has needed a sensitive issue investigated, it’s repeatedly called on the same law firm.

      That last part about the timing of it all is worth unpacking, as there has been chatter among rival teams for months now that the league was delaying its announcement for the sake of salvaging All-Star Weekend. Yet until the ruling comes, the Clippers’ every move will continue to be analyzed by league folks and fans alike.

      Did they give president of basketball operations Lawrence Frank a lucrative and lengthy extension months ago as a preemptive battening of the hatches? Was the Ivica Zubac deal with the Indiana Pacers perhaps motivated by the desire to secure first-round draft picks in case the Clippers have to forfeit draft picks? Did James Harden want to get out of Dodge, err, Inglewood (and off to the Cleveland Cavaliers) in part because of the chaos that might be coming around the bend? This is the sort of stuff that has been bandied about for some time now, and which will be interesting to revisit when clarity finally comes.

      As for the actual basketball, the Clippers have done a remarkable job turning things around despite all the distractions (I didn’t even mention the unflattering Chris Paul exile). Since Dec. 20 — when they were an embarrassing 6-21 — they’ve won 20 of 27 games while posting a net rating of 5.6 that is seventh in the league. It remains unclear when newcomer Darius Garland (who came to the Clippers from Cleveland) will make his debut, as he’s continuing to recover from the left toe injury that required surgery in the offseason (he hasn’t played since Jan. 14). Our Law Murray reported on Wednesday that Garland isn’t expected to play until March.

    • I don’t think the penalties will be as harsh as most fans are imagining.

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    NBA offseason storylines: Watching LeBron, Reaves, Giannis, more

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Where will LeBron James be next season?
      Last week, after he became the oldest player to record a triple-double, 41-year-old James discussed one major factor that could determine how long the NBA’s leading career scorer stays in the league.

      “My game is not going anywhere. It’s just my body,” James told reporters after the Lakers’ win over the Dallas Mavericks before the All-Star break. “[But] how long can I stay in love with the process?

      “Because that’s always been my thing. If I can’t continue to stay in love with the process, then if [my mental commitment] goes, then my body’s going to go. And once my body goes, then it’s a wrap.”

      Remarkably, James, who has averaged at least 33 minutes and 20 points in every season of his career, is on pace to add a 23rd consecutive year to the list.

      James’ options for a 24th season? This offseason, the pending free agent can:

      Return to the Lakers

      Sign with a contender

      Retire

      Re-signing with Los Angeles would come with a significant pay cut from his current $52.6 million. But, few contenders are projected to have cap space this summer. For example, it’s likely that the Cavaliers, Denver Nuggets and Knicks could offer LeBron only the veteran’s minimum exception.

      How will the Lakers continue building around Luka Doncic?
      Since trading for Doncic in February 2025, the Lakers have been operating under two timelines: LeBron’s and Luka’s.

      “Having optionality now is really a positive thing for us this coming offseason,” president of basketball operations Rob Pelinka said after this season’s Feb. 5 trade deadline.

      This offseason, the franchise’s top priority is re-signing Austin Reaves, who will likely decline his $14.9 million player option for 2026-27 to pursue a long-term extension.

      Before injuring his left calf on Christmas, Reaves was averaging a career-high 26.6 points and shooting better than 50% from the field. (In five games since returning, Reaves has averaged 20.0 points on just 25.4 minutes.) “I’ve said it a million times. I want to be in L.A. I love it,” Reaves told ESPN’s Dave McMenamin in November.

      “Even though the other extension was turned down, that doesn’t mean that I’m trying to go get a f—ing gigantic number that doesn’t make sense. I want to be here; I want to win.”

      The Lakers, Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets are among the teams with enough spending power to sign Reaves to a lucrative contract. But as the Bucks showed when they waived and stretched Lillard’s contract last season, teams without cap space have methods to manufacture cap space.

      Because of Reaves’ $20.9 million free agent hold, the Lakers could have up to $50 million in cap space this summer, the most of any team. To create that room, however, Los Angeles would need to renounce every free agent on the roster — including LeBron.

      Besides James and Reaves, which other free agents should we watch?
      Peyton Watson and Collin Gillespie.

      In Watson’s case, Denver failing to reach an extension before the season could be costly.

      “With the new CBA and the second apron, things of that nature, [the Nuggets] wanted to stay out of that,” Watson told The Denver Post in October. “As a business, you’ve gotta operate [based on] what’s best for your business. And when it comes time for me to make my decision next summer, I’ve gotta operate as a business myself.”

      Upcoming NBA games on ESPN/ABC

      Friday, Feb. 20
      Mavericks at Timberwolves, 7:30 p.m. ET
      Clippers at Lakers, 10 p.m. ET

      Saturday, Feb. 21
      Rockets at Knicks, 8:30 p.m. ET

      Sunday, Feb. 22
      Cavaliers at Thunder, 1 p.m. ET
      Nuggets at Warriors, 3:30 p.m. ET

      Watson is a restricted free agent this offseason, allowing Denver to match any offer sheet. The Nuggets are projected to be $3.6 million below the second apron next season.

      Watson, named a Western Conference Player of the Week in January, is averaging career highs in points and shooting efficiency this season. And in 39 starts, he is averaging 17.5 points with a 50.4 field goal percentage and 41.7% shooting from 3.

      Gillespie, meanwhile, has outplayed the one-year, $2.3 million contract he signed with the Suns.

      He scored a career-high 30 points in a Feb. 3 win against the Portland Trail Blazers and has at least six assists in 16 games this season. The Suns are plus-4.8 points per 100 possessions when Gillespie is on the floor, according to Cleaning the Glass.

      Gillespie is eligible to sign a four-year, $66.6 million contract with Phoenix. Because he has early Bird rights, the contract must be a minimum of two seasons (not including an option).

      As for the rest of the free agent class, here are the top names to watch:

      All-Star level: LeBron James, Jalen Duren (restricted), Austin Reaves, James Harden (player option)

      Top starter level: Trae Young (player option), Lu Dort (team option), Draymond Green (player option), Walker Kessler (restricted), Norman Powell

      Starter level: Peyton Watson (restricted) Neemias Queta (team option), Collin Gillespie, Deandre Ayton (player), Harrison Barnes, Coby White, Mitchell Robinson, John Collins, Tari Eason (restricted), Rui Hachimura, Tobias Harris, Kevin Porter Jr., (player option), Isaiah Hartenstein (team option), Jaden Ivey (restricted), CJ McCollum, Kristaps Porzingis, Fred VanVleet (player option), Nikola Vucevic, Zach LaVine (player option), Andrew Wiggins (player option) and Mark Williams (restricted)

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    LAKERS MAY NEED TO OFFER PEYTON $30M/YEAR FOR NUGGETS TO DECLINE

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    Hammer likely to fall on Clippers for Kawhi Aspiration scandal

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    5 big Lakers questions post-ASB

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    West Win Projections!

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    LeBron On Min Lakers Deal Could Stream Farewell Tour for $40-$75M

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    • I like that idea.

    • If Lebron was to take a serious pay cut (I’m guessing no less than half his current salary) it’ll be to play for his hometown team. The Cavs are in a much better position to make a deep run if he goes there. Stay here and probably still end up as the 5th seed and looking at a 2nd round exit when facing the Thunder, Spurs, or Nuggs.

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    LUKA FIT WITH GIANNIS C/B SIMILAR TO LEBRON

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    • Gianni’s can still still defend which is paramount for a team featuring Luka. That’s the biggest difference.

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    Ranking Top 30 Potential 2026 NBA Free Agents

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      21. Mitchell Robinson

      Team: New York Knicks
      2025-26 Salary: $13 million
      Rights: Full

      The Knicks are among the top teams in the East, advancing last playoffs to the Conference Finals. All-Star Karl-Anthony Towns is ahead of Robinson in the rotation, but doesn’t have the same defensive skill set. Against some opponents, New York needs what Robinson provides as a strong, physical shot blocker.

      The challenge for the team next season, given Robinson’s free agency, is deciding whether or not to exceed the second apron. While Robinson has struggled to stay healthy throughout his career, several teams could use what he brings and may test New York’s appetite for luxury taxes and apron penalties.

      16. Quentin Grimes

      Team: Philadelphia 76ers
      2025-26 Salary: $8.7 million
      Rights: Full

      When the 76ers were decimated by injury last season, Grimes averaged 21.9 points over 28 games in a significant role. The Sixers have had more health this year, and Grimes’s production has flagged to 12.7 points per game, and his three-point shooting has dipped from 37.3 percent to 34.1 percent.

      Philadelphia chose to keep Grimes on his qualifying offer, instead of negotiating a more lucrative multi-year deal. As a still young (26 in May) talented combo guard, he seems likely to depart if he can find a team willing to give him the non-taxpayer mid-level exception ($15.1 million starting) or more in free agency.

      11. Tari Eason
      Team: Houston Rockets
      2025-26 Salary: $5.7 million
      Rights: Full (restricted)

      The Rockets and Eason are in an interesting position. Kevin Durant is a 37-year-old All-Star. Fred VanVleet, almost 32, is out for the year with a knee injury. Eason represents part of the team’s young core, but he’s expecting a significant pay raise.

      If Houston pays Eason in the $20-30 million starting range, the franchise could face apron restrictions.

      If the Rockets pass, letting him leave as a restricted free agent (or sign-and-trade him), the team loses youth, depth, and a tough wing who is shooting 46 percent from three-point range on nearly five attempts.

      One of the teams with cap room could test Houston’s resolve with a large offer sheet.

      10. Luguentz Dort
      Team: Oklahoma City Thunder
      2025-26 Salary: $18.2 million ($18.2 million team option)
      Rights: Full

      If the Thunder win another title, losing Dort would be a difficult choice. While Oklahoma City has avoided paying luxury taxes for what could be back-to-back championships, the third try will be more costly after giving Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren significant extensions.

      The Thunder could opt Dort out with an agreement to re-sign at a lower number on a multi-year deal, but he’s the kind of player a team like the Los Angeles Lakers or Chicago Bulls might want to fill significant defensive gaps in their roster. Oklahoma City has a long list of talented players that can fill Dort’s minutes, but none are as tough and physical defensively. At this early stage, guessing the option decision is a coin flip.

      8. Walker Kessler
      Team: Utah Jazz
      2025-26 Salary: $4.9 million
      Rights: Full (restricted)

      After five games, Kessler was lost for the season with a shoulder injury. The 24-year-old center, listed at 7’2″, briefly averaged 14.4 points, 10.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.8 blocks for the Jazz.

      Utah was initially projected to have cap room this summer and expected to re-sign Kessler as a restricted free agent after using its spending power (while taking advantage of his $14.6 million free-agent cap hold).

      Instead, the franchise traded for Jaren Jackson Jr. from the Memphis Grizzlies. Will the Jazz invest heavily into three frontcourt players or attempt to sign-and-trade Kessler to make a playoff push?

      7. Peyton Watson

      Team: Denver Nuggets
      2025-26 Salary: $4.4 million
      Rights: Full (restricted)

      Watson helped carry the Nuggets when Nikola Jokić was sidelined for 16 games with a knee injury.

      Through 15 games in January, Watson averaged 21.9 points per game and shot 46.2 percent from three-point range, compared to 14.9 points and 41.7 percent from three on the season.

      Unfortunately, Watson is missing time with a hamstring strain. The Nuggets have the power to keep the 23-year-old wing, but will another franchise issue a massive offer sheet to test Denver’s mettle?

      6. Isaiah Hartenstein
      Team: Oklahoma City Thunder
      2025-26 Salary: $28.5 million ($28.5 million team option)
      Rights: Early Bird

      The Thunder hope to win back-to-back titles, presumably bringing back the core of the roster for a three-peat opportunity. This season, the team is under the luxury tax threshold. Next year, the Thunder face tax and apron issues that could lead them to opt Hartenstein out of his contract regardless of what happens this postseason.

      Still, even if Hartenstein is opted into free agency, the team may pre-negotiate a multi-year deal at a lower starting number. Another team could try to steal him away, but the Thunder may need to offer enough to ensure they don’t—given All-Star big Chet Holmgren has durability issues. Rookie Thomas Sorber, who is out for the year (knee), may gradually fill that spot, but pencil in Hartenstein back with the Thunder in the meantime.

      3. Austin Reaves
      Team: Los Angeles Lakers
      2025-26 Salary: $13.9 million ($14.9 million player option)
      Rights: Full

      Reaves turned down a four-year, $87.4 million extension with the Lakers (starting at $19.5 million)—the most the team can offer. Instead, he’s expected to opt out to explore free agency. Before a calf injury, he was a top-10 NBA scorer, seemingly primed for his first All-Star bid.

      The Lakers can pay him up to about $41.5 million in starting salary for up to $240.7 million. The most another team can offer is four years, $178.5 million (the same amount he’d be eligible for via sign-and-trade).

      Whatever the result, Reaves projects to be well compensated this summer.

      2. Jalen Duren
      Team: Detroit Pistons
      2025-26 Salary: $6.5 million
      Rights: Full (restricted)

      Along with MVP candidate Cade Cunningham, Duren has emerged over the last two years as a true game-changer in Detroit. He’s grown on both sides of the floor, especially defensively on a very stingy Pistons squad.

      A first-time All-Star, Duren is averaging a career high 17.7 points a game for the best team in the Eastern Conference by record at the All-Star break (40-13). Duren should get a sizable raise to stay, but if the Pistons aren’t willing to max him out, the Lakers have plenty of cap room for an offer sheet.

      1. LeBron James
      Team: Los Angeles Lakers
      2025-26 Salary: $52.6 million
      Rights: Full

      Out of respect for James’ career and his stature as one of the NBA’s legendary stars, the 41-year-old free agent tops the list despite his age.

      He may choose retirement. He could return to the Lakers (if they’ll have him—though they may turn the page to build properly around Luka Dončić) or his hometown Cleveland Cavaliers for a third and final stop.

      Perhaps James will look to join a star-laden team such as the Golden State Warriors with Steph Curry or the New York Knicks with Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns.

      Few of those options will have the power to pay James close to what he earned with the Lakers this year. To chase what is likely his final NBA season, he may need to embrace a significant pay cut.

      • Take a Cut and a Tour LBJ with our Lakers. Age, sure, but 22 ppg, 7 Dimes 7 Rebounds and drive to win and leadership will be hard to replace. Say all you want about Luka and Giannis, but shy of Leader IMHO.

      • Robinson & Dort are the kinda DAWGS you need to put around Luka.

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    Adam Silver Wants to End NBA Draft but Faces Hurdle from Lakers, Nuggets

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Adam Silver floated a wild idea to counter tanking. In a meeting, the league officials discussed abolishing the NBA draft as an extreme measure to prevent the unethical practice. It’s caused some panic among the fanbase, who feel the league is taking away a moment of a lifetime from upcoming basketball prospects. However, thanks to the Lakers, Nuggets, and a few other teams, this change will take time.

      Tom Haberstroh broke down why that is. See, several teams like the Lakers and Nuggets have already committed their 2032 draft picks. The Nuggets don’t have a pick at all. The Lakers sent their second-round pick to the Hawks in exchange for Luke Kennard. Hence, even if Silver has to resort to the extreme, the commissioner will have to wait until all obligations are fulfilled.

      “How many years out would that have to be with all the p the picks that are already outlaid in the NBA? The earliest it could happen if Adam Silver said, “All right, all 30 owners, we came to an agreement. We are going to kill the draft. We’re going to go to rookie signing free agency period.” And guess what? It won’t happen until 2033. That’s the earliest I’d imagine the NBA could pass… It likely wouldn’t happen until 2033 when all of the existing pick outlays are finished,” Haberstroh explained on the Big Number.

      Since the request is for teams to be fair, the league will have to take that into consideration for those affected by such changes. Take even the Thunder, for example. Sam Presti has done an amazing job of creating a competitive roster and stacking picks together. Silver can’t just scratch his efforts and say there won’t be a draft going forward. That goes against teams who have done everything by the book and set themselves up for a positive future.

      Such a drastic change will also need the league officials to map out the regulations that will replace the current regime. Here’s the problem. If they try to be fair, the timeline could keep increasing.

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    Lakers Lineups Deep Dive: A Testing Ground for the Summer Rebuild

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Why the Dončić–James lineups are the Lakers’ biggest second-half question>

      1-The big three… or a big two problem?

      The first challenge in assessing the Lakers this season is not what we’ve seen, but rather what we haven’t. The superstar trio of Dončić, James, and Reaves, which should be the main strength of this top-heavy roster, has played only 10 games together. The Lakers won seven of those, which is a respectable mark, but the sample is tiny. The trio has shared the floor for just 152 minutes, or 322 non-garbage-time possessions.

      For comparison, the Timberwolves trio of Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, and Julius Randle has logged 1,667 possessions together. Even the primary trios of other Western contenders in Oklahoma City, Denver, and San Antonio, all of whom have dealt with injuries as well, have played 500 possessions or more.

      However, even in this small sample, the numbers for lineups with Dončić, Reaves, and James on the floor together are not what you would want to see from your three best players.

      Source: Cleaning the Glass

      Yes, those numbers are skewed by several blowout losses the Lakers were involved in, and more than half of the sample, 182 possessions, comes from the old starting lineup with Deandre Ayton and Rui Hachimura, a group Redick and his staff have since moved away from. Marcus Smart will likely be the fifth starter after the break, and we’ll see whether that can push the starting lineup into positive net rating territory.

      The key challenge, however, is not necessarily how to make lineups with all three superstars work, but rather how to make units built around just two of them, Dončić and James, function. The sample size for those combinations is much larger, and as you can see from the lineup data, the results have been equally concerning. In 1,416 possessions with Dončić and James sharing the floor, the Lakers posted a –4.2 point differential. Even removing the 322 possessions that also included Reaves, the number only improves to –3.2 across 1,094 possessions.

      Most lineup subsets featuring Dončić and James have posted a negative net rating, largely because of poor defensive results. That reinforces the growing realization that, at this point in their careers, they are not a good defensive fit. The overlap in their strengths and weaknesses has often been more limiting than additive.

      2-Splitting the aces: going all-offense with Dončić, all-defense with James?

      The problem of building a functional defense around Dončić, a 41-year-old James, Reaves, and a below-average defensive center is probably not fully solvable. But can it be mitigated?

      Looking at the lineup splits in the first section, what immediately stands out is that lineups featuring just one of the three on the floor, with the other two off, have generally been positive. And the Dončić–Reaves duo was dominant when sharing the floor during the early-season run. Then, during Reaves’ prolonged absence, we saw the Lakers try to simply survive their opening minutes, often flipping the script later by dominating opposing bench units with unconventional, frequently bigger lineups led by James.

      Source: Cleaning the Glass

      Most lineups featuring one of Dončić or James on the floor, with the other off, have been positive. For clarification, those samples include possessions alongside Reaves. That suggests staggering Dončić and James more aggressively might be worth a try.

      If we break it down further by pairing each with a big man or the team’s best wing defenders, a few additional insights emerge on how to better optimize the rotations in the second half of the season. Most lineups with Dončić on the floor and James off have been very good offensively, so leaning into all-offense units built around a lob threat in Jaxson Hayes, surrounded by shooting, could be another viable strategy. James-led, non-Dončić units, on the other hand, have mostly won their minutes by leaning into size and defense. Dončić lineups featuring Marcus Smart have been great, but the ones with Jarred Vanderbilt have largely been a struggle, often resulting in Vanderbilt taking open corner threes. In contrast, James units with Vanderbilt have been dominant defensively.

      Prioritizing spacing and shooting around Dončić, while going all-in on size and bully-ball with James, and figuring out the best way to integrate Reaves as the glue, is something we could, and probably should, see more of in the second part of the season.

      3-Breaking up Dončić, James, Hachimura minutes

      Dončić and James struggling together defensively can partly be attributed to the fact that they essentially occupy the same defensive role. Both are best suited to guard bigger forwards in lower-activity help assignments rather than chasing guards and faster wings or applying point-of-attack pressure. The additional challenge for Redick is that his fourth-best offensive player, Rui Hachimura, fits a very similar defensive archetype. The numbers back that up. In 541 possessions with Dončić, James, and Hachimura on the floor together, the Lakers’ defense was virtually non-existent, allowing 120.0 points per 100 possessions. That sample includes 187 possessions from the old starting five of Dončić, Reaves, Hachimura, James, and Ayton, which was even worse defensively.

      Source: Cleaning the Glass

      After spending nearly half the season trying to avoid the obvious, Redick ultimately convinced Hachimura to accept a bench role. As you can see from the chart below, they not only broke up the starting unit but also reduced the amount of time the trio spends on the floor together, with Hachimura thriving as an off-the-bench scorer.

      Dončić–James–Hachimura shared minutes (source: pbp stats)

      4-Luke Kennard and the value of shooting around Dončić

      I mentioned the idea of the Lakers leaning into all-offense Dončić lineups in the second section. The trade deadline acquisition of Luke Kennard complicates Redick’s job when it comes to integrating another below-average defender into the rotation. On the other hand, it gives him another elite shooter and floor spacer.

      I’ve been doing lineup analysis for Dončić-led teams over the last couple of years, and one of the consistent, unsurprising trends that keeps showing up is this: surrounding Dončić with a rim-rolling vertical threat and a shooter who can stretch the floor and create space for him to operate is a recipe for elite offense. This year’s Lakers sample is no different. For the purposes of this lineup analysis exercise, I subjectively classified shooters as players opposing teams consistently guard as perimeter threats: Reaves, Hachimura, Gabe Vincent, Dalton Knecht, and now Kennard.

      Source: pbp stats lineup data

      Two things stand out in the results. First, the sample of lineups featuring Dončić with no, or very limited, outside shooting is quite large, and those units struggled offensively. Second, there is also a significant sample of Dončić lineups with one or two shooters on the floor, and those groups produced elite offense, scoring 120 points per 100 possessions or more.

      If we dig further into the subset of this data by isolating lineups with Dončić on the floor and James off, the numbers become even more encouraging for groups featuring at least one shooter.

      Source: pbp stats lineup data

      There is one caveat with this data: Reaves has been one of the shooters in many of these lineups, and Dončić–Reaves combinations have generally been very positive this season. That said, lineups featuring the other shooters from my list have also been very good offensively.

      5–A testing ground for the summer rebuild?

      Before wrapping up, I want to emphasize one point: the goal of this exercise is not to add fuel to the Dončić vs. James discourse we often see on social media. What James is doing at his age is unprecedented and remarkable to watch, and he has been a driving force behind several Lakers wins this season.

      There is also more nuance behind the lineup data. Some of the current splits are heavily influenced by a few of the Lakers’ collapses, as well as early-season struggles when James was still working his way back after a long layoff. Three-point shooting variance, particularly the Lakers’ poor accuracy from deep in Dončić–James lineups, is another significant factor influencing those results.

      However, the struggles of Dončić–James lineups are hard to ignore and have, in my opinion, been one of the defining storylines of the season so far. The sample is large enough, along with several other warning signs, such as a high opponent corner-three frequency, weak rim protection, and poor transition defense, to suggest that making these lineups work will require significant adjustments in the second half of the season. More aggressive staggering of their minutes is something worth exploring.

      That approach would also give the Lakers’ coaching staff and front office more opportunity to test different combinations around Dončić and Reaves. Reaves’ return to the starting lineup and expanded role should provide a boost, but it also adds another delicate piece to balance. All signals from the Lakers so far suggest they are willing to sacrifice some short-term results for long-term clarity. Viewed through that lens, maximizing Dončić–Reaves minutes across different lineup configurations should be a priority. The data from those experiments could offer valuable insight into how to build the team around them in the fast-approaching post-LeBron era.

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