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    Can L.A. go center-less against Minnesota’s frontline?

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    • FROM THE ABOVE ARTICLE:

      The big Lakers question: Can their center-less lineups hold up?

      Trading Davis and rescinding the Mark Williams trade has settled the Lakers on a center-less identity. While Jaxson Hayes has been largely impressive and outperformed his veteran’s minimum contract, the Lakers are often at their best with some frontline combination of James, Hachimura, Dorian Finney-Smith and Jarred Vanderbilt. All four players can switch between centers, wings and even guards, and the former three provide a level of spacing that can bend the best defenses until they break.

      The Lakers have faced some of the better two-big teams in the league recently — Oklahoma City, Houston, Memphis and Dallas — and dictated the terms of engagement. In all four matchups, the opponent was forced to adjust to the Lakers’ smaller groups, and not the other way around. That’ll be the goal for Los Angeles against Minnesota, which rotates its three bigs — Gobert, Randle and Naz Reid — in various combinations.

      The key for the Lakers will be punishing the Wolves for staying big, testing the foot speed, versatility and ability to cover ground defensively of the Wolves’ bigs. Defensively, the Lakers will need to play physically, box out around the rim with multiple players and ensure the Wolves’ guards and wings aren’t beating them to 50-50 balls.

      “You just got to play hard as s—,” Austin Reaves said of the Lakers’ smaller lineups playing the Wolves’ bigger groups. “Every possession, you win by the smallest margin or you lose the smallest margin in the playoffs as we could tell from last year. Obviously, ain’t the same team, but if you go back and watch last year’s games, one thing here and there could have changed the whole series. We can’t take possessions off.”

      The Lakers have their five-man closing unit: Finney-Smith, Hachimura, James, Reaves and Dončić. All five players should play 30-plus minutes and close games together. They don’t want to veer away from that. The group’s ability to replicate its regular-season success and win its minutes against iterations of Gobert, Reid and Randle will likely determine the series.

      The big Wolves question: How do they defend Dončić?
      The Wolves, like most of the NBA, have a Dončić problem.>/B>

      In last year’s five-game Western Conference finals while playing for the Mavericks, Dončić averaged 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.2 assists on 47.3/43.4/84.6 shooting splits against Minnesota. Jaden McDaniels, one of the league’s best perimeter defenders, was the primary matchup on Dončić until the Wolves eventually switched him off, preferring Anthony Edwards and Kyle Anderson on Dončić. McDaniels’ slight frame allows Dončić to push him around, creating separation for stepback 3s or on drives out of pick-and-rolls.

      In the most recent matchup in Los Angeles, the Wolves largely kept McDaniels off Dončić again, preferring to use him on Hayes and having him switch onto Dončić to limit pick-and-roll opportunities. Edwards can hold up better physically, but he’s also at a size and strength disadvantage against Dončić. Plus, he began to struggle with foul trouble in the conference finals against Dončić, attacking him on drives and with head fakes.

      Dončić revels in the Gobert matchup. He said after his Dallas tribute video that the clip that stood out to him the most was his game-clinching shot over Gobert in Game 2 of the 2024 conference finals. While that was a rallying moment for the Mavericks — a sign they were likely heading to the NBA Finals — it was also a not-so-subtle shot at Gobert.

      “He thinks that there’s not a person in the world that can guard him,” Redick said of Dončić. “So I think he takes that seriously, that matchup in particular.”

      Gobert’s defensive limitations have long been overstated. He holds up in isolation better than he’s often given credit for, awkward flailing be damned. But he’s primarily a drop big, and the Lakers have shredded that type of defensive big lately. If Gobert is guarding Finney-Smith or Hachimura, the Lakers will spam pick-and-pop opportunities or put him in positions in which he’ll have to cover ground from the rim to the weakside corner or wing. In the case that he does switch, expect Dončić — and potentially even Reaves — to get the better end of that mismatch or generate an advantage elsewhere.

      Minnesota just doesn’t have a good Dončić matchup, meaning it’s either going to get torched by him or, more likely, have to adjust its base defense drastically, which will have ripple effects. If the Wolves are downsizing to better match up with him, doubling him and allowing three-on-two and two-on-one opportunities for the Lakers, and/or switching far more with their bigs, those are all wins for the Lakers. If they can find a way to slow him down while preserving their core principles, that can shift the series in Minnesota’s favor.

      Lakers’ X-factor: Rui Hachimura

      Hachimura was the primary Edwards defender in the last matchup and has spent plenty of time defending Randle as a Laker over the past three seasons (he’s held him to 39 percent shooting, per NBA.com’s imperfect tracking data). He should see plenty of time as the primary defender on both Edwards and Randle, making him one of the most important players in the series.

      The Lakers’ starting small forward has developed into a dangerous 3-point shooter in Los Angeles, making 41-plus percent of his 3s in back-to-back seasons (he shot 41.3 percent this season). If the Lakers play him at center, he can attack the Wolves’ bigs as a pick-and-pop threat or on the weak side as a floor-spacer.

      Minnesota will test Hachimura’s decision-making on closeouts. He doesn’t have the quickest release and can sometimes struggle with processing. Hachimura has grown tremendously on both sides of the ball this season. On balance, he’s been the Lakers’ fourth-best player — and is certainly their fourth-best offensive weapon. They need him to make 3s, attack closeouts, battle Minnesota’s bigs in the paint and remain locked-in possession to possession.

      Wolves’ X-factor: Jaden McDaniels

      If the Wolves are to pull off the upset, McDaniels will likely be at the center of it.

      Perhaps he fares better defensively against Dončić this time around. Or maybe he’s able to disrupt James’ drives or envelope Reaves on the perimeter. He’s Minnesota’s best or second-best defender, and they’re going to need a Herculean performance from him on that end.

      Offensively, McDaniels is the perimeter player the Lakers will help off the most. He’s shooting just 31.1 percent on 3s after the All-Star break and has shot below 34 percent in consecutive seasons. Considering Minnesota’s caliber of shooters — DiVincenzo (39.7 percent), Nickeil Alexander-Walker (38.1 percent), Reid (37.9 percent), and Mike Conley (41.0 percent) — McDaniels is a player the Lakers will live with taking semi-contested 3s against late closeouts.

      If McDaniels can neutralize one of LA’s stars, shoot above league-average on 3s, and make winning 50-50 plays (offensive rebounds, loose balls, etc.), he has the chance to swing this series.

      Reid — a Laker killer through the years — is also worth noting as an honorable mention.

      Series X-factor: Which team strays from their identity more?

      The pivot point of this series is the frontline. This, in a way, is an extension of the Lakers’ biggest question.

      The Lakers prefer to downsize and play multiple power forwards to space teams out to the point of breaking defensively. They also can switch one through five — or at least one through four or two through five — which keeps their shell defense intact. The Wolves prefer to play two centers and a power forward, dominating teams offensively with their size and strength and funneling opponents into Gobert and their thicket of arms.

      The Lakers can counter by playing Hayes more, or even Vanderbilt for defense and rebounding, but those lineups haven’t been as effective as their “Lasers Lineup” — two 40-plus 3-point shooters in Finney-Smith and Hachimura around their big three.

      The Wolves, meanwhile, are steadfast in remaining a team that prefers to drop, hedge or blitz in pick-and-rolls. They’d rather not switch. But it’s going to be difficult to do that against the Lakers’ star trio, who basically strong-arm teams into switching because that’s the most effective way to try to stall Dončić, James and Reaves.

      Whichever team is forced to adjust more — and earlier in the series — botch tactically and within their rotation will be at the greater disadvantage.

      Prediction

      This series feels more like a conference semifinals or conference finals bout than a first-round matchup. These teams were separated by one win in the regular season. The Wolves made the conference finals last season. The Lakers have looked like a group capable of getting there — when healthy — post-Dončić trade.

      When splitting hairs between the two, it’s easy to see why the Lakers are favored. They have the second-best record within the conference, the second-best home record and two top-10 players. They have two of the best players in the series, and possibly three of the best four when factoring in Reaves. That’s just too much scoring, shot creation and playmaking to overcome.

      The Wolves’ defense will challenge them, but they don’t have good matchups for Dončić or James’ individual brilliance.

      The Lakers have a better shot at disrupting what the Wolves are looking to do — with the offense so tied to Edwards — than the Wolves do of disrupting what the Lakers want to do. If they can find a way to slow Dončić, either one-on-one or through blitzing, doubling or hedging, the Lakers can just simply run more of the offense through James or Reaves. The Wolves simply don’t have as much playmaking or high-level decision-making outside of Edwards and perhaps Randle.

      This will be a close and competitive series, but the Lakers have enough top-end firepower and tactical versatility to advance.

      Lakers in 6 games.

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    You have to love the work, the competition, the grind

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    LAKERS 2024-25 AWARDS

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    • That is clutch player of the year. It’s a relatively new award only the last couple of years.

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    Lakers Bet On Lights-Out Shooting And Aggressive Small Ball Defense

    Redick’s surprise late-season gamble to transform the Lakers’ offense into a volume 3-point shooting juggernaut and their defense into a trapping and swarming small ball attack paid off big as L.A. won 50 games and #3 seed.

    The dramatic changes allowed the Lakers to win 50 games, the #3 seed in the West, and what is generally considered to be a very favorable possible path to the NBA Finals, especially considering the West is so challenging. JJ’s timing was perfect. Luka transformed L.A.’s offense into a 3-point juggernaut while their LeBron-powered aggressive swarming, trapping small ball defense held 3 elite teams under 100 points to close the season.

    Once the dust settled after their 8-game run, the Lakers had done the unthinkable and actually transformed themselves into a 3-point offensive juggernaut that was taking and making 5 more 3-point shots per game.
    With a healthy, better conditioned Luka Doncic running the offense and a healthy, repurposed LeBron James choreographing their swarming small ball defense, the Lakers finished the regular season as a playoff nightmare.

    Before their stretch run, the Lakers were making 0.6 fewer 3PM per game for a negative differential of -1.8 points per game. During the run, L.A. made 3.2 more 3PM per game for a positive differential of +9.6 points. Redick’s smart decision to go all-in on volume 3-point shooting and aggressive small ball defense was a recognition the only realistic way L.A. could win the NBA championship was to win the 3-point war with Boston.

    Let’s look closer at the Lakers’ dramatic stretch run to lock up 50 wins and the #3 seed in the West and whether their juggernaut 3-point shooting and swarming rotating small ball defense will be sustainable in the playoffs.


    Lakers’ Offense Leads NBA in Made Threes Down Stretch

    LAKERS #1 IN 3PM FROM 3/29/25–4/11/25

    The Lakers started their 8-game stretch run with a 44–29 record and #4 seed in the West but facing the league’s toughest closing schedule with critical pairs of games vs. the #1 OKC Thunder and #2 Houston Rockets.

    The 2024–25 regular season had been a constant roller coaster for the Lakers as untimely injuries to James, Davis, and Doncic and trades for Finney-Smith and Doncic roiled their roster and disrupted their season.
    Despite the changes and setbacks, Redick remained committed to fully modernizing the Lakers’ old school offense, embracing the 3-point era, and committing the team to taking and making a high volume of threes.

    Over the Lakers’ next 8-games, L.A. went all-in on becoming the NBA’s hottest and most potent offensive juggernaut led by a dynamic playmaking and scoring Big Three of Luka Doncic, LeBron James, and Austin Reaves.
    Before their stretch run, the Lakers offense was 14th (114.3), defense 14th (113.6), and net rating 14th (+0.7). During their stretch run, their offense was 1st in the NBA (124.6), defense 15th (114.4), and net rating 7th (+10.2).

    During their 8-game stretch run, the Lakers raised their 3PM from 12.9 to 17.5 per game, their 3PA from 35.9 to 41.3 per game, and their 3P% from 36.0% to 41.4%, creating a positive +9.6 points 3-point shooting differential.
    While a small sample size, the eye test confirmed advanced stats. Anybody watching could see Luka was creating waves of wide-open 3-point shots for the Lakers. L.A.’s +10.2 net rating was due to their 3-point differential.

    The Lakers have the playmakers and dead-eye shooters to prove their sizzling 3-point shooting was not just a hot streak but a replicable outcome of the elite pacing and spacing they can sustain throughout the playoffs.


    Lakers’ Swarming Small Ball Defense Shuts Down Stars

    LAKERS 8-GAME REGULAR SEASON STRETCH RUN

    While it was the Lakers’ juggernaut 3-point shooting that propelled them to a 50-win season and #3 seed in the West, the Lakers also had opportunities to showcase their swarming small ball defense during their stretch run.

    The first opponent the Lakers held under 100 points down the stretch was the #2 seed Houston Rockets, whom the Lakers beat 104–98, holding them defensively to 41.6% from the field and 31.3% from deep in a close game.
    The Lakers held Rockets’ guards Jalen Green and Fred Van Fleet to single digits and Houston big men Alperen Sengun and Dillon Brooks to 16 and 14 points. The Lakers aggressive small ball team defense shut Rockets down.

    The Lakers’ best defensive effort was their 126–99 stomping of the #1 seed Thunder in OKC, where the Lakers aggressive trapping small ball defense held the Thunder to just 43.3% from the field and just 32.4% from deep.
    The Thunder’s loss was biggest of the season. The Lakers shut down OKC’s interior and perimeter offense and dominated them offensively, winning the 3-point war by 30 points and raising serious questions about OKC.

    The third opponent the Lakers held below 100 points down the stretch was the Mavericks in Luka Doncic’s first return to Dallas after the big trade, where the Lakers proceeded to throttle AD and the Mavericks 112–97.
    The Lakers not only had Luka’s back as he dominated the game, scoring 31 in the first half and 45 for the full game. They also shut down the Mavs’ offense and held Anthony Davis to just 13 points on 5 of 13 shooting.

    Like with their offense, the Lakers have finally have their full defense available, including the 4 big wing defenders in Vanderbilt, Hachimura, Finney-Smith, and James, who are the fire that makes their defense run.

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    • Aloha Tom, nice post. Yes we are seeing the full Luka effect. The quality of the open 3 point looks is amazing. I still chuckle when the Lakers defense is called small ball. Mike Trudell calls it small center ball because of the size of everyone, back court and front court. They are not small.

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    JJ Redick Confirms Plans to Fix Lakers Locker Room’s Mental State

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Los Angeles Lakers head coach JJ Redick is cooking. With the playoffs around the corner and all eyes on whether LeBron James and Luka Doncic can dominate together, Redick isn’t just rolling out practice drills—he’s rebooting the entire mindset of this Lakers squad. While the spotlight is (rightfully) shining on LeBron’s health and Maxi Kleber’s progress, the real headline might be something deeper: Redick is working on the Lakers’ soul.

      And he just confirmed it. “No live action. Today was potentially not a mental day. We’ll get into the mental and prep side tomorrow,” Redick said when asked about practice. “Today was just about getting back up in the gym, some conditioning, a lot of shooting.”

      That might sound like your average off-day update, but let’s decode that. Redick is intentionally pacing this team—pressing reset, sharpening the mental blades, and turning the intensity dial slowly before cranking it to full blast against the Minnesota Timberwolves. That, folks, is a coach playing chess while others play HORSE.

      If you’ve been watching the 2024-25 Lakers, you know they’ve gone through waves. From LeBron’s mid-season groin injury to the wild Doncic trade, to watching Redick evolve from podcasting to playoff planning—it’s been a Hollywood script in real time. And now, Coach JJ is writing the third act.

      The Lakers didn’t just win 50 games—they survived a chaotic season, built chemistry, and turned adversity into armor. And now, Redick wants that energy focused, refined, and battle-tested for what’s to come.

      His leadership style isn’t about yelling in the locker room—it’s about recalibrating. Turning the vibes around. Making sure everyone—from the rookies to the King—is mentally aligned for a post-season grind that’ll test every muscle, every instinct, and every heartbeat. That’s why this “non-live” practice was so crucial. This wasn’t rest—it was the calm before the storm.

      LeBron James Is “Fine,” But Redick’s Handling Him Like Gold

      Let’s talk LeBron. The groin injury he suffered against the Rockets on April 9 had fans holding their breath. After all, this man is 22 seasons deep and still the engine that powers LA’s playoff train. But Redick was quick to squash the panic. “LeBron was a full participant in shooting and conditioning,” he said, adding that the injury was minor and James is “fine.”

      The vibes? Immaculate. The King is healthy. And not only that—he’s peaking at just the right time. You don’t bench LeBron for fun during a playoff push. You protect the investment. You let him get his shots up and stay loose, and you unleash him when the lights are brightest. And that’s exactly what JJ Redick’s doing.

      With Luka beside him and fresh legs underneath, this might be the most dangerous LeBron we’ve seen since the Bubble.

      Let’s not forget about Maxi Kleber, the under-the-radar wild card who’s been inching closer to a return. The German big man has been sidelined since fracturing his foot in January (back when he was still a Maverick), but Redick confirmed Kleber is now doing shooting and conditioning drills. “Maxie is back on the court doing on-court activities, but there’s no timeline,” Redick clarified.

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    DJ and Jim Peterson

    Did you refer to Jim Petersen in your post? I pictured with anybody, not just the Superstars! I am the short guy, lol! Feel free to post if you want! Go Lakers!

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    Left is Playoff Bron. Right is Playoff Luka.

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    • Seriously, two of the greatest and smartest point guards to ever play the game being on the same team together. Lakers in 5!

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    Maxi Kleber might be the Lakers secret weapon 👀

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    Happy Birthday, Kareem 🎉

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    Lakers Playoff basketball is here!

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    ESPN says Rui Hachimura is Lakers' biggest X-factor

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    • Interesting stat. When Rui gets 10 shots or more the Lakers are 22-7. When he gets less than 10 they are 14-15. Find Rui Luka.

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    NBA FINAL Power Rankings from the Athletic

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    'NBA experts' unanimously pick Lakers to bounce Wolves in 1st-round series

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    • FROM ABOVE ARTICLE:

      Color us shocked … ESPN’s panel of NBA experts have unanimously predicted that the Los Angeles Lakers will take out the Minnesota Timberwolves in their Western Conference first-round series set to tip off on Saturday in Los Angeles.

      The Wolves finished the regular season as the No. 6 seed in the West, after winning eight of their last 10 games. That hot form, that included wins over Detroit, Denver and Memphis (all teams in the playoffs), wasn’t enough to get even one of ESPN’s 10 “NBA experts” to choose Minnesota in the playoff picks the organization released on Monday.

      Motivation pic.twitter.com/iL1qPiizKt

      — Jim Petersen (@JimPeteHoops) April 14, 2025
      Wolves TV analyst Jim Petersen commented on the unanimous decision by posting a screenshot on his personal X (formerly Twitter) account, saying “Motivation.”

      While the experts predicted the Lakers to win the series, Minnesota is at least expected to not go down easy. Eight of the 10 experts have the series going to six games, with the other two predicting Minnesota taking it all the way to a Game 7.

      Minnesota and Los Angeles split the regular-season series, with each team winning a pair of games. Each team won their home games in the series, including the season opener between the two teams in which the Lakers topped the Wolves 110-103 in Los Angeles. Only one of those games, however, came after the Lakers acquired star guard Luka Doncic.

      Three of the four games came in the opening two months of the season. Doncic played in the final matchup between the two teams, a 111-102 Lakers win on Feb. 27.

      Game 1 of the best-of-seven series tips off Saturday in Los Angeles, with a nationally televised tipoff at 7 p.m. CT on ABC.

      • From DJ:

        “Did you refer to Jim Petersen in your post? I pictured with anybody, not just the Superstars! I am the short guy, lol! Feel free to post if you want! Go Lakers!”

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    5 Things: The Real Season

    The Lakers did what was needed to control their destiny and end up as the 3rd seed. They have a date with the 6th seeded Minnesota Timberwolves. It’s safe to say that there won’t be any easy roads to a title, especially in the loaded western conference, but facing the Timberwolves early is probably for the best. I’d rather face a young team early, before they maybe win a series or two and start playing above their heads. Defense and an efficient offense are the keys to winning in the playoffs so let’s get into it.

    1. Healthy get you wealthy. The week off for a team featuring the oldest player in the league (whom we rely on extensively) is a boon from the basketball gods. LeBron, Reaves, Luka, Hayes, DFS, Rui and Vando have all missed games for maintenance over the last month and getting those players off their feet and into some treatment is huge. Especially LeBron and Luka but anyone who can maybe get over a nagging injury or a persistent bruise. Hayes in particular could stand to get over the finger injury he has which is why I suspect his free throw % has dropped off a cliff of late. Getting as many guys as right as possible is a gift the Lakers have not had in some time.
    2. Time for planning. Being that it’s Coach Reddick’s maiden voyage into the playoffs it will be interesting to see how he plays the matchups, adjustments and counter-moves that often define a playoff series. Coaching takes on a new dimension in the playoffs and I’m excited to see what the coach and his staff come up with. Having not one but two generational talents to run the offense, call out coverages and slow the game down for the whole team is a luxury most coaches can only dream of. Matching up against the Timberwolves is a great first test.
    3. Luke, LeBron and Reaves. Let’s not get anything twisted: we’re going exactly as far as these three players can carry us. We need for the hot shooting Luka showed the last few games to continue, we need LeBron to continue to captain the defense at an elite level, and we need Reaves to continue to assert himself and be the best 3rd option in the NBA. If these three guys are all rolling pretty consistently I like our chances against anyone.
    4. X Factors. I’d say the health and impact of Mike Conley on the Timberwolves along with how Randle plays are probably the 2 biggest X Factors for the Timberwolves. For the Lakers it’s their bench. Who among Vincent, DFS, Vando, Knecht and maybe Goodwin can step up and deliver under the bright lights of the NBA playoffs? My bet is that Vincent ends up being a stabilizing force, for the most part, and that the true X Factors end up being Vando and Goodwin. If those two can combine for 10+ points and the stat stuffing they do on D we’re in good shape. I’m not expecting a huge role for Dalton, honestly. Who knows, all sorts of weird can happen in a 7 game series. Just ask Lonnie Walker IV.
    5. Defense shall lead the way. The old adage proves true every postseason: defense wins championships. If the lakers can rediscover that elite, defenders on a string vibe we had post-Luka trade but pre-LeBron groin tweak I like our chances against anyone in either conference. Slip much below that and the cracks in the foundation will be showing and we’re going to be in for a tough slog. So here’s hoping we defend at an elite level and score effectively and efficiently en route to banner #18!

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    • Nice post Jamie, as usual I believe it’s the others that will determine if we win. Especially the 2nd unit. You know you are going to get hard nose defense and hustle from that group. Scoring isn’t as dependable. When Gabe and DSF are hitting shots we can beat anyone. But sometimes they don’t and that defensive intensity isn’t enough. We go through scoring draughts sometimes. I think that’s when you give Dalton a shot.

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    MY OFFICIAL NBA PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS: LAKERS IN 5!

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