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LakerTom wrote a new post
Read MoreThe Lakers’ mega decision last offseason to not offer LeBron James an extension means they could potentially enter free agency next summer with $87 million in cap space to sign their or other team’s free agents.
Right now, only 6 NBA teams are projected to have significant cap space to sign free agents next summer, which means the Lakers would only be competing with 5 other teams, none of whom are legitimate contenders. Reports say Lakers will have $55 million in cap space, Wizards $80 million, Clippers $67 million, Jazz $48 million, Nets $44 million, Bulls $35 million. Lakers could renounce players to increase their cap space to $87 million.
While next summer’s free agency may not include superstars like Jokic or Antetokounmpo, here are impressive lists of the available free agents who are unrestricted and restricted free agents or have player or team options.
Besides their own free agents, possible Lakers targets include centers like Porzingis, Robinson, Williams, and Kessler and 3&D guards and wings like Ellis, Olynyk, Oubre Jr., Thybulle, Grimes, and maybe even Wiggins.While the NBA has tougher limits on free agency than MLB, the Lakers would be smart to to emulate the Dodgers and prioritize building via free agency versus trades since you do not give up players or draft capital.
Last offseason was the perfect example of how adding Deandre Ayton, Marcus Smart, and Jake LaRavia as free agents without having to give up matching salary or draft capital allowed the Lakers to expand their depth.The Lakers have smartly positioned themselves to have $87 million in cap space next summer to build a legitimate championship roster around Luka Doncic by signing their own free agents and other teams’ free agents.
Re-signing Their Own Free Agents

AUSTIN REAVES, RUI HACHIMURA, & MARCUS SMART …
While the names and numbers could change due to a midseason trade, the Lakers currently have 10 players whom they’ll probably keep and 4 players on expiring contracts whom they’ll probably let walk away in free agency.
The 10 players the Lakers will probably keep include 6 players who are under contract and 4 free agents. Luka Doncic, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Dalton Knecht, Bronny James, and Adou Thiero have contracts.
The 4 players who are unrestricted free agents are Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, and Marcus Smart. They need to be re-signed with raises. Here’s a proposed Lakers 2026–27 salary cap for next summer.
LAKERS PROJECTED 2026-27 CAP SPACE
…On the left, the chart shows the 10 players the Lakers plan to keep, their current or last salary, proposed raise, and projected new salary. On the right, the chart shows the 4 free agents whom they’re going to renounce.
The Lakers project to have $123.5 million in existing player contracts plus $43.6 million in projected raises for a total payroll of $166.9 million for the 10 players the Lakers plan to have on their payroll going into the summer.The Lakers do have a major decision to make with respect to Deandre Ayton, who has done an excellent job at both ends to help the Lakers win but isn’t the ideal rim protector and floor spacer that Luka needs to win.
There will be several quality starting as well as backup centers in next summer’s free agency who can both protect the rim and space the floor who could replace, backup, or play next to Ayton in a two-bigs lineup.The Lakers should spend half of their $87 million in open cap space to give raises of $20 million to Austin, $12 million to Deandre, $7 million to Rui, and $4 million to Marcus for a total of $43 million for their own free agents.
Signing Other Team’s Free Agents

ANDREW WIGGINS, ROBERT WILLIAMS III, & KEON ELLIS …
The Lakers plan is to allow LeBron and 3 other free agents walk away for nothing to create an $87 million free agent opportunity where they use half to sign their own top free agents and half to sign other teams’ free agents.
We saw last section how the Lakers used half of their $87 million in cap space or $43 million to give raises and extensions to 4 of their own free agents: Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura, and Marcus Smart.
The other half of the $87 million or $43 million is to be used to sign free agents from other teams, including a starting point-of-attack wing, backup shot blocking center, and possibly better fitting center to replace Ayton.The following chart lists Lakers’ top 10 free agent targets for next summer, their last salary and projected free agent price. The Lakers have $43 million that could be used to add 2 to 4 free agents to the Lakers current 10 players.
They could add Andrew Wiggins and Mitchell Robinson. Or Keon Ellis and Kristaps Porzingis. Or Keon Ellis, Walker Kessler, and Robert Williams. Or even Walker Kessler, Robert Williams, Kelly Oubre, and Quentin Grimes.
LAKERS PROJECTED 2026 FREE AGENT TARGETS
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The Lakers’ major challenge in building out this roster around Luka Doncic is what to do about center. While Deandre Ayton has been great, the Lakers need better rim protection and floor spacing from their center rotation.
Could Kristaps Porzingis or Walker Kessler be better starting options for the Lakers than Deandre Ayton? Or the answer could be to build a deeper, more diverse front court rotation by adding Wiggins, Olynyk, and Williams.
LAKERS 2026–27 DEPTH CHART AFTER FREE AGENCY With $87 million cap space, Lakers could build a legitimate championship team by re-signing their own free agents Reaves, Ayton, Hachimura, and Smart and signing other teams’ free agents Wiggins, Olynyk, and Williams.
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LakerTom3 months ago -
What Could Lakers Do With $87 Million Cap Space This Summer? Re-signing Their Own Free AgentsWhile the names and numbers could change due to a midseason trade, the Lakers currently have 10 players whom they’ll probably keep and 4 players on expiring contracts whom they’ll… pic.twitter.com/M6U2Wq0EPL— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 6, 2025
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What Could Lakers Do With $87 Million Cap Space This Summer? Signing Other Team’s Free AgentsThe Lakers plan is to allow LeBron and 3 other free agents walk away for nothing to create an $87 million free agent opportunity where they use half to sign their own top free agents… pic.twitter.com/8j5xinAKcz— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 6, 2025
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Smart has a player option for next season…doubt there will be more money for an aging, oft-injured, can’t hot the side of a barn backup guard but if there is he’s welcome to pursue that. I still think we made a massive mistake not simply keeping Jordan Goodwin who has been available to play in every game and is playing the same role Smart does for us…only better. But also for less money… I hope Smart proves me wrong but he needs to be able to play to do that and so far that’s a crap shoot.
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MARCUS SMART
OFFRTG 115.8
DEFRTG 106.7
NETRTG +9.1
2ND ON LAKERS
CAREER 3P% 32.2%
CAREER 9.3/2.3/2.9/0.4/1.6
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Read MoreAnalytics is the elephant in the room no NBA reporters are talking about that transformed the Los Angeles Dodgers into a championship franchise and will be at the heart of the modernization of the Los Angeles Lakers.
Mark Walter’s commitment to analytics and incorporation of data-driven decision making in his sports business empire have been the driving forces behind his success with the Dodgers and their domination of baseball. Walter believes he can apply the same sports business principles and systems that made the Dodgers world champions 3 times in the last 6 years to transform the Lakers into an NBA dynasty similar to the Dodgers.
The Lakers have been historically criticized for underinvesting in analytics infrastructure and for failing to leverage advanced metrics, predictive modeling, and smart simulation tools that could improve player selection.
That’ll change as billionaire owner Mark Walter and his transition team complete the takeover of the Lakers. While Jeanie Buss will remain as the team’s governor, Mark Walter and his team will be making the decisions.The Lakers did a great job offseason in adding depth via free agency. As a result, the Lakers now have 10 players who are keepers — Doncic, James, Reaves, Ayton, Hachimura, Smart, LaRavia, Hayes, Thiero, and James, Jr.
That leaves 4 players and $37.5M as trading chips — Vanderbilt, Vincent, Kleber, and Knecht — plus 1 first round, 1 second round, and 4 pick swaps.
If needed, Hachimura and his $18.2M could be LA’s fifth trading chip.The data says Lakers need better point-of-attack defense, rim protection, and 3-point shooting to contend for a title. Let’s take a closer look at how the Lakers should fill these needs and whom they should target if needed.
1. BETTER POA DEFENSE

ANDREW WIGGINS, DILLON BROOKS, & KEON ELLIS Andrew Wiggins, SF, 6′ 7″, 210 lbs, 30-yrs, $28.2M, 4-yrs, 1.0/1.0 in 32.9 mpg
Dillon Brooks, SF, 6′ 7″, 225 lbs, 29-yrs, $21.1M, 2-yrs, 0.2/1.8 in 30.9 mpg
Keon Ellis, SG, 6′ 4″, 175lbs, 25-yrs, $2.3M, 1-yr, 0.4/1.3 in 17.6 mpgThe data says the Lakers desperately need better point-of-attack defense from their guards and forwards. They currently rank #16 with a team defensive rating at 114.0 and #20 in team steals at just 8.0 per game.
While Marcus Smart’s given the Lakers an elite point-of-attack defender at shooting guard, the Lakers are still missing a bigger wing point-of-attack defender like Andrew Wiggins or Dillon Brooks to start at small forward.
Unfortunately, both Wiggins and Brooks and their teams have gotten off to good starts so there’s no guarantee either will be available for a reasonable price at the deadline. A trade for one of them might require Hachimura.While the Heat’s or Suns’ situations may change by the deadline, the smart move for the Lakers would be to prioritize trading for the King’s Keon Ellis who’s 4 to 5 years younger and $18M to $25M per year less expensive.
While Ellis isn’t the starting small forward the Lakers need, he projects to be as good a point-of-attack defender as Wiggins or Smart and would only cost Knecht and a first round pick, allowing the LA to keep its depth.Despite a reputation as a ‘win now’ team, the Lakers fully understand what is happening with the speed, athleticism, and physicality of the NBA game. OKC showed everyone that youth, aggressiveness, power, and depth rule.
If the Lakers are going to use their one tradable first round draft pick, then they’re going to use it on a young promising 24-year old 3&D guard rather than on a 29 to 30-year old veteran small forward on huge contracts.Lakers should target the King’s shooting guard Keon Ellis to bolster the team’s point-of-attack defense as well as give them another backcourt player who can shoot the three-ball with elite accuracy and volume.
2. BETTER RIM PROTECTION

ROBERT WILLIAMS III, DANIEL GAFFORD, & JONATHAN ISAAC Robert Williams III, CE, 6′ 9″, 248 lbs, 26-yrs, $13.2M, 1-yr, 1.3/0.7 in 13.7 mpg
Daniel Gafford, CE, 6′ 10″, 265 lbs, 247-yrs, $14.3M, 4-yrs, 1.5/0.9 in 23.5 mpg
Jonathan Isaac, PF, 6′ 10″, 230 lbs, 28-yrs, $15.0M, 4-yrs, 0.5/0.4 in 10.0 mpgWhen it comes to rim protection, the data says the Lakers are average at best and need better shot blocking to win a championship. Their 114.0 defensive rating is #16 and their 3.4 blocks per game #24 out of 30 teams.
While Deandre Ayton has been terrific as the Lakers’ starting center and Jaxson Hayes excellent as their backup center, neither has been able to dominate defensively and anchor the team’s defense as a rim protector.
Ayton has averaged 0.9 blocks and 0.8 steals per game in 29.6 minutes while Hayes has averaged 0.5 blocks and 0.4 steals per game in 17.3 minutes.
Lakers could use an elite shot blocker and backup center for Ayton.The Lakers’ top three candidates to be their 3rd center are the Blazers’ Robert Williams, the Mavericks’ Daniel Gafford, and the Magic’s Jonathan Isaac. Each brings something special to the table in terms of skillsets.
Robert Williams is the most athletic and an elite defender but with a devastating injury history. Gafford is a proven match with Luka Doncic. Isaac, like Williams, is uber-athletic and a great one-on-one defender.With Ayton and Hayes playing well and James available to play small ball five, the Lakers can afford to gamble on trading for Robert Williams III, who in limited minutes would give them a world-class rim protector.
When healthy, Williams would give the Lakers a wild card center who can put a lid on the rim when needed and give the defense a high flying shot blocker who can intimidate and deter opponents from attacking the rim.The Lakers should target the Blazers’ Robert Williams III to add elite defensive athleticism and physicality to the Lakers center rotation. Williams would give them the banger they need against bigger teams.
3. BETTER 3-POINT SHOOTING

LEBRON JAMES, RUI HACHIMURA, & KEON ELLIS LeBron James, PF, 6′ 8″, 250 lbs, 40-yrs, $52.6M, 1-yr, 2.1/5.7 for 37.6% (LYR)
Rui Hachimura, PF, 6′ 8″, 230 lbs, 27-yrs, $18.2M, 1-yr, 1.9/4.0 for 48.5%
Keon Ellis, SG, 6′ 4″, 175 lbs, 25-yrs, $2.3M, 1-yr, 1.4/3.4 for 41.5%From an offensive standpoint, the data says the Lakers must take and make more 3-point shots to become a legitimate championship contender. Right now, the 15-5 Lakers ranked #26 in 3PA, #30 in 3PM, and #24 in 3P%.
The good news is the Lakers 3-point shooting has finally started to improve, jumping to 38.8% since Lebron returned 4 games ago. Part of the problem is the returning players shooting as well as they did last year.
Last year, the Lakers finished the season #15 in 3PM, #19 in 3PA, and #14 in 3P% at 36.6%. Right now, the Lakers only volume 3-point shooters have been Doncic at 11.5 3PA per game and Reaves at 7.6 3PA per game.So far this season, the Lakers have made 205 3-pointers while opponents have made 247 for a -6.9 points per game. But in the last 4 games, Lakers 3-point shooting differential has been reduced to just -2.1 points per game.
As the season progresses, the Lakers will see their threes taken and made increase considerably, with much of the increase coming from LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, and Keon Ellis if they successfully trade for him.A combination of positive regression and healthy shooters should solve the Lakers’ current 3-point shooting problem. The Lakers have already established solid margins in made free throws and points in the paint.
They just need to make sure that the elite defensive players they add can also contribute offensively so that they cannot be played off the court like Jarred Vanderbilt. Lakers must add legitimate 3&D players like Keon Ellis.The Lakers have the ability to finish in the top-10 in 3-point shooting. To accomplish that, they would need to average around 40 attempts per game, shoot around 37.5%, and successfully make around 14 threes per game.
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Analytics Made Dodgers Champs! What Does Data Say Lakers Need? Analytics is the elephant in the room no NBA reporters are talking about that transformed the Los Angeles Dodgers into a championship franchise and will be at the heart of the modernization of the Los Angeles… pic.twitter.com/barDaonGtP— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 2, 2025
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Analytics Made Dodgers Champs! What Does Data Say Lakers Need? 1. BETTER POA DEFENSEANDREW WIGGINS, DILLON BROOKS, & KEON ELLISAndrew Wiggins, SF, 6′ 7″, 210 lbs, 30-yrs, $28.2M, 4-yrs, 1.0/1.0 in 32.9 mpgDillon Brooks, SF, 6′ 7″, 225 lbs, 29-yrs, $21.1M, 2-yrs, 0.2/1.8… pic.twitter.com/veLGMZ5S1b— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 2, 2025
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Analytics Made Dodgers Champs! What Does Data Say Lakers Need? 2. BETTER RIM PROTECTIONROBERT WILLIAMS III, DANIEL GAFFORD, & JONATHAN ISAACRobert Williams III, CE, 6′ 9″, 248 lbs, 26-yrs, $13.2M, 1-yr, 1.3/0.7 in 13.7 mpgDaniel Gafford, CE, 6′ 10″, 265 lbs, 247-yrs,… pic.twitter.com/jjrZegJWVl— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 2, 2025
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Analytics Made Dodgers Champs! What Does Data Say Lakers Need? 3. BETTER 3-POINT SHOOTINGLEBRON JAMES, RUI HACHIMURA, & KEON ELLISLeBron James, PF, 6′ 8″, 250 lbs, 40-yrs, $52.6M, 1-yr, 2.1/5.7 for 37.6% (LYR)Rui Hachimura, PF, 6′ 8″, 230 lbs, 27-yrs, $18.2M, 1-yr, 1.9/4.0… pic.twitter.com/mZm7DpIY2L— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 2, 2025
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SECOND BLOCKBUSTER 3-TEAM TRADE TO ELEVATE LAKERS DEFENSE TO TOP-10 Lakers Receive: -Keon Ellis -Devin Carter-Robert Williams III Kings Receive: -Jarred Vanderbilt -2026 First Round Pick Blazers Receive: -Maxi Kleber-Dalton Knecht-2032 second round pick… pic.twitter.com/RriGhfsdin— LakerTom (@LakerTom) December 2, 2025
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This will be an interesting debate, not so much the trades proposed but rather how the Lakers incorporate the numbers/results driven philosophy of Mark Walter’s and his inner cabal.
One thing jumps out at me right away. The difference in pace of play between last regular season and playoffs. Teams averaged almost 6 fewer possessions/game in the playoffs vs. the regular season last year (98.5 to 92.6 in the playoffs), shot more (and made fewer) threes, and an uptick in iso ball. Means you need to build from 2 different models.
Players who have a longer leash in the regular season often ride the pine for an entire series because of a perceived weakness in their game. Coaches trust fewer players in high pressure situations and often times themselves can succumb to the elevated level of play. With a lot fewer spots on the team in the NBA than in baseball it means you have a much smaller margin for error when identifying players that fit into and potentially excel in your analytics model for the team.
In short, what can work well for you in the 82 game season often needs to be scrapped, to a large degree, come the playoffs. This presents a unique challenge to true team-building. Because a much-relied on player in the regular season can suddenly vanish in the post-season and if there’s not a player that can fill that gap better on the roster we see a talent and skill drain that, eventually, becomes unsustainable. We saw Redick struggle with that last season when they guys he could rely on for 10-15 mpg suddenly, to him, seemed unplayable.
Chemistry truly shines in the playoffs, as well. We’ve seen that with squads who have been allowed to grow and fail together over a couple of seasons suddenly make huge strides in a short amount of time. Top of that list is clearly the Thunder, but add in teams like the Pacers, Knicks, Bucks, and Celtics who saw a core of 4-5 players grow together and build a foundation of trust that can be the key in high stress moments.
The core illustrated above really ought not include Marcus Smart who likely won’t play much beyond this current deal and currently can’t shoot a pea into the ocean, as Chick used to say. Maybe he turns that around, maybe not, but at 31 having battled multiple leg and back injuries over the last 3 years it seems hard to count on him to be both available and effective. I like him on the team for the duration of his deal (I expect him to opt in after this season as there won’t be more money out there for him) and he might be a potential expiring contract to dangle next trade deadline in 2026-27, but there’s simply no way he’s a major part of the Lakers future. You need a guy like him or the Morris twins or Udonis Haslem, et al to help the younger guys learn and understand the value of professionalism from a vet.
We’ll see. Baseball and basketball analytics have very different impacts on their respective games, not always for the better. With smaller teams, relying on fewer players and the rate of injuries in the NBA I’m curious to see what Mark’s numbers team brings to the table.
FWIW, Only trade I’d make is for Ellis and the Lakers can get in line behind other teams with better assets. Going to take more than Knecht and a pick, I’ll wager. Also not sure they’d move him. Feels like they’re hoping to unburden themselves of LaVine, maybe Sabonis, and hit rebuild. But he’s near the top of my very short list of players I’m even interested in potentially trading for. Would rather go hard for a 3/4 combo guy. I’m fine rolling with Ayton and Jax at the 5 this season.
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Neither Wiggins or Brooks are on the trade block. The Heat sniffed around Wiggins in June but later declared they will not trade him. And Why should they? Besides being in the thick of the playoff race in the east, he has a large contract that they would need to pull off a trade for a superstar if one becomes available. . As for Brooks, he has never been on the trade block. The Suns are in the hunt for the playoffs and I see no reason why they would trade him. And if they did we do not have the assets it would take to trade for him. Ellis could be available. He is one of the rare young players that is an unrestricted free agent. If they feel he can’t be resigned they could move him. But the Kings would really have to believe in Dalton to make a trade work.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Read MoreEverybody says don’t expect the Lakers to duplicate the Dodgers’ success under Mark Walter because the rules differ, but that wrongly implies that the Dodgers won because of money rather than enlightened ownership.
While the rules of the sports are different, how you build championship teams aren’t. Smart, rich owners hire savvy front office execs, who hire elite, visionary coaches and draft and trade for talented, winning players. While it’s a big advantage to be able to outspend your opponents, that’s not why the Dodgers won three of last six world series. They won because of Mark Walter’s ‘leave no stone unturned’ formula for succeeding in sports.
Under Walter’s ownership, the only word to accurately describe how the Dodgers operate is ‘relentless improvement,’ whether the front office, the coaching staff, marketing department, or every roster spot on the team.
Expect that same relentless upgrading of every aspect of the Dodgers to be ruthlessly replicated with the Lakers. It’s one thing to have the money to make changes, it’s another to have the iron will to relentless get better.Bottom line, the full transition from the Buss family business to the new corporate version of the Lakers is now happening as signaled by the recent firing of the Buss brothers and hiring of two Dodger execs as advisors.
Mark Walter’s hiring of Farhan Zaidi (Dodger’s analytics) and Andrew Friedman (Dodgers’ operations) as transition advisors was just the first step in expanding and modernizing the Lakers’ entire front office operation.Mark Walter will change how the Lakers’ front office works and change how the Lakers players play the game of basketball. Let’s take a closer look at why Mark Walter’s ownership matters both off and on the court.
Why Mark Walter’s Ownership Matters Off-Court

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Mark Walter’s ownership will transform the Los Angeles Lakers off-court from a closely run family business to a corporate sports powerhouse that hopefully matches his crosstown Los Angeles Dodgers in championships.
Mark Walter isn’t wasting time as the Lakers’ new owner. Less than 30 days after the NBA approved the sale, Walter fired Joey and Jesse Buss and hired Dodgers’ execs Farhan Zaidi and Andrew Friedman as transition advisors.
The Lakers have also replaced most of the scouting department who were terminated with Joey and Jesse with 3 new highly respected NBA scouts as Walter’s team reviews and revamps every department in the organization.As a closely run family business, the Lakers have often been guilty of being unnecessarily frugal or shortsighted about investing and modernizing their front office, scouting, player development, and other key departments.
Since Dr. Buss’ death back in 2013, the Lakers have been a team without a guiding vision, on-court identity, or charismatic leader to establish a true championship culture, winning just the 1 championship in the 13 years.That will all change with Mark Walter. The Lakers will suddenly become a feature cog in the professional sports empire that Walter is building where the teams will share championship data, resources, and philosophies.
Expect every personnel move the Lakers make before the February 4, 2026 trade deadline to be part of a new analytics data-driven decision-making process where, unlike with the Busses, everybody will be on the same page.Under Mark Walter’s enlightened ownership and direction, the Los Angeles Lakers will finally fully embrace analytics and build an elite championship organization that along with the Dodgers will dominate professional sports.
Why Mark Walter’s Ownership Matters On-Court

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Mark Walter’s enlightened ownership will prove to be just as impactful for the Los Angeles Lakers as its been for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who won their 3rd World Series in the last 6 years as part of Walter’s TWG Sports.
Walter’s company, Guggenheim Baseball Management, bought the Dodgers in 2012 and immediately made them competitive but it took 7 years of ‘relentless improvement’ before they won their first title under Walter.
Mark believes he can utilize the same blueprint or organizational system he developed to optimize efficiency and synergy and transform the Dodgers into World Champions to do the same for the Lakers but much sooner.What the Lakers need right now is to fix their key roster issues, which are a poor starting lineup defense and an abysmal bench offense, which could be partly solved by a lineup change but ultimately will require a trade.
While LA needs major help defensively, they’re also struggling mightily with their long range shooting, which they cannot ignore. Right now, the Lakers are dead last in the league in 3-point shots attempted and made.Walter’s enlightened ownership and analytics team building system will dramatically upgrade whom the Lakers draft and trade for as they load up on elite 3-point shooting, defensive physicality, and basketball smarts.
Some things won’t change. The Lakers will still chase superstars. They may even be willing like the Warriors to go deep into luxury tax to win multiple championships. Like with Ohtani, Mark also likes to think outside the box.Mark Walter believes the Lakers have left championships on the hardwood. He’s confident that, through analytics and data-driven decision making, the Lakers can become just as dominant in the NBA as the Dodgers in MLB.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Read MoreWhile the Lakers’ strong start has raised their floor and ceiling, they still need an elite 3&D starting small forward to shut down bigger wing scorers and a quality shot blocking defensive backup center to protect the rim.
With Austin Reaves having played himself into being untradable other than for a true superstar like Giannis, the Lakers no longer have enough coveted trading chips and draft capital to fill both needs before the trade deadline. The Lakers need to carefully evaluate whom they could trade for at the deadline and next summer and who’ll be available to sign as free agent next summer before deciding when and how to fill their two major roster holes.
The Lakers are in an enviable position right now. Their 11–4 record is the 3rd best in the West and 4th best in the league despite injuries, and they’ve won 3 straight games and their next 4 games are against losing teams.
To top off the week, the Lakers now have LeBron back from injury, all 14 roster players finally healthy and available, and a perfectly timed 4-day break to hold valuable practices and set rotations before tonight’s game.Mark Walter is moving quickly to put his imprint on the Lakers much like he did with the Dodgers, which means they’re likely to be more focused and aggressive looking for trades and free agents to win a championship.
Like he did with the Dodgers, Mark is already moving to transform the Lakers front office into a team that’s always on the same page without conflicting factions, which is why he ordered the Buss brothers’ firings.So let’s take a more detailed look at ‘What Do Lakers Need Right Now’ and what moves they might make before the deadline plus ‘What Should Wait Until Summer’ when the team can offer at least 2 and maybe 3 draft picks.
WHAT DO LAKERS NEED RIGHT NOW?

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The Lakers’ greatest need right now is an elite 3&D starting small forward who can shut down bigger wing scorers and free up current starter Rui Hachimura to add needed firepower to the team’s bench with his shooting.
The Heat’s Andrew Wiggins and Suns’ Dillon Brooks are the top veteran small forwards the Lakers should pursue while the Pelican’s Herb Jones and Rockets’ Tari Eason are the the top younger wing candidates to target.
All 4 candidates would require at least a first round pick. Here’s a chart showing what each of the wing candidates earns, whom the Lakers would have to give up to match salaries, and whom they would be able to keep.
Cost of Starting 3&D Wing Candidates …
As you can see from the above chart, the older the candidate and more salary he earns, the more the Lakers must give up in depth in a trade. The lure of trading for Tari Eason is he would cost the least in terms of depth.
The Lakers need a starting small forward who can space the floor, defend his position, and be an integral part of a championship starting lineup. Here’s a chart showing each candidate’s key offensive and defensive stats.
Stats for Starting 3&D Wing Candidates …
While all 4 candidates have the size, 3-point shooting, and defensive skills the Lakers need in a starting small forward, Andrew Wiggins stands out as the best defender and second best 3-point shooter of the four candidates.
Tari Eason’s 3-point shooting stats jump out for only 23 mpg but his blocks and steals for this season are lower than the others. Last season, he had 1.1 3PM shooting 34.2% and recorded 0.9 blocks and 1.7 steals in 24.9 mpg.The Lakers must pull off a blockbuster trade for an elite 3&D starting small forward like Andrew Wiggins, Dillon Brooks, Herb Jones, or Tari Eason. Andrew Wiggins is the safest bet but Tari Eason could be the smartest.
WHAT SHOULD WAIT UNTIL SUMMER

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The Lakers should wait until next summer to set their center rotation of the future because by then they’ll know what they have in Deandre Ayton and multiple quality starting and backup free agent centers will be available.
Mark Walter firing the Buss brothers and hiring Dodgers analytics expert Farhan Zaidi signals a transformation where the Lakers’ front office will always be on the same page and embrace data-driven decision making.
The Lakers’ summer strategy was already set when they declined to offer LeBron a next season contract. They plan to use his $50M expiring contract to sign a center, re-sign players, build more depth, and save their picks.Despite the excellent job Deandre has done as their starting center, the Lakers know they ultimately will need a sustainable roster with better floor spacing and stronger rim protection to become a championship dynasty.
The following chart details 6 available centers the Lakers could pursue as free agents next summer: 3 possible starting centers in Porzingis, Kessler, and Ayrton and 3 backup centers in Robinson, Williams III, and Olynyk.
Cost & Stats for Free Agent Centers …
Kristaps Porzingis is obviously the oldest and most expensive starting center option but with Onyeka Okongwu’s ascension and Trae Young’s looming extension, the Hawks appear to be unlikely to extend him.
The most fascinating starting center option is Walker Kessler, who is out for the season due to a torn left labrum but will be ready to play next season. He’s a restricted free agent, which could make acquiring him difficult.The Lakers would love to end next summer with center rotation that could space the floor and protect the rim headed by Kristaps Porzingis or Walker Kessler. Porzingis is the safest option but Kessler could be the smartest.
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LakerTom wrote a new post
Read MoreIt seems unfair to the rest of the NBA that the 10–4 Lakers, 4th in the West and 5th in the league right now, can now add LeBron James, the ultimate jack-of-all-trades basketball superstar, to their already impressive roster.
Rob Pelinka said at the start of the season that he’d wait until 20 to 25 games to see what the team needs before making decisions about possible trades. Now 14 games into the season, the Lakers’ needs have still not changed. Despite a strong overachieving start, to win a championship, the Lakers still need a 3&D starting small forward who can shut down high powered wing scorers and a shot blocking backup center who can protect the rim.
When ready, JJ Redick should start LeBron James and move Rui Hachimura to the bench for more firepower. The Lakers’ starting lineup would then be Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton.
The Lakers bench would be Gabe Vincent, Dalton Knecht, Jake LaRavia, Rui Hachimura, Maxi Kleber with Adou Thiero pushing for minutes. Jarred Vanderbilt, Bronny James, and Jaxson Hayes would be outside the rotation.The one question the Lakers hope to answer in the next 9 games before December 15th is whether LeBron, in short bursts, could be the lockdown wing defender and backup shot blocking center they desperately need.
As LeBron himself said, he has no problem doing whatever the Lakers need from him to help the team win, whether it be spacing the floor, cutting back door, defending at point-of-attack, or protecting the rim.LeBron could transform Lakers into a championship team by empowering Luka and Austin’s playmaking, helping Deandre by spacing the floor and protecting the rim, and turbo-charging the bench with Austin and Rui.
LEBRON ‘OFF-BALL’ EMPOWERS LUKA & AUSTIN ‘ON-BALL’

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In the NFL, great quarterbacks sometimes need great receivers to win. The same is true in the NBA. JJ Redick believes LeBron’s all-world off-the-ball skills could be what unleashes the on-ball wizardry of Luka and Austin.
Unlike last season when the Lakers’ three stars often appeared to be taking turns on offense, JJ Redick has been staggering Luka and Austin so one of their elite point guards is always on the court for 48 minutes of every game.
That rotation strategy as well as their ‘next-man-up’ mentality have been why the Lakers’ have the fifth best record in the league despite posting average offensive rating (#17), defensive rating (#17), and net rating (#16).LeBron missing the first 14 games of the year gave Austin the opportunity to take his game to another level and the Luka and Austin pairing the opportunity to show they can be a championship caliber backcourt.
Despite the chaotic start, staggering Doncic and Reaves has given Redick his championship blueprint. Create an unstoppable synergy between LeBron’s off-ball GOAT skillset and Luka’s and Austin’s super playmaking.Keeping the ball in Luka’s and Austin’s hands while LeBron plays almost exclusively off the ball is the perfect move to transform the Lakers from a finesse to a power team. LeBron James will be unstoppable off the ball.
Imagine James cutting back door, crashing the offensive boards, setting picks for Luka and Austin, then rolling to the basket where he can dunk, throw a lob for Deandre, or fire a pass to the corner for an open three.LeBron James’ superstar ‘off-ball’ skills and talent could empower Luka Doncic’s and Austin Reaves’ on-ball magic and turn the Los Angeles Lakers into a legitimate contender for the NBA championship this season.
LEBRON AT POWER FORWARD HELPS DEANDRE AT CENTER

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Replacing Rui Hachimura with LeBron James would transform the Lakers’ starting lineup from a mostly finesse team into more of a power team that attempts to win by ratcheting up the physicality at both ends of the court.
While offense-first Rui Hachimura is a better power forward than small forward, he’s not the perfect match front court next to offense-first Deandre Ayton since he cannot stretch the floor or protect the rim.
James replacing Hachimura would immediately upgrade the Lakers’ starting lineups’ size, athleticism, physicality, and toughness. Meanwhile, Rui gets a bigger role and the Lakers’ bench gets needed firepower.LeBron is actually the perfect power forward to complement Deandre Ayton, who’s played great for the Lakers but lacks the ability to protect the rim and stretch the floor, which are skillsets needed to complement Luka.
Remember the version of LeBron we’re going to see is an off-ball monster. Giving point guards Luka and Austin the lethal 100% off-ball version of LeBron would be like giving your quarterback an all-world wide receiver.Adding James to the front court and keeping Smart in the backcourt gives the Lakers’ starting lineup two elite defenders for better starting balance and versatility while moving Rui to the bench gives them needed scoring.
For now, Lakers still need to start Marcus Smart. They need a blockbuster trade for an elite 3&D small forward like Andrew Wiggins or Dillon Brooks, who would then replace the smaller Marcus Smart in the starting lineup.LeBron James starting at power forward will make Deandre Ayton a better center and give the Lakers a legitimate championship caliber front court that can run the pick-and-roll, stretch the floor, and protect the rim.
AUSTIN ‘ON-BALL’ & RUI ‘OFF-BALL’ TURBOCHARGE BENCH

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Right now, the Lakers’ bench ranks dead last in the league averaging just 24.2 points per game. Adding Rui Hachimura to the bench would instantly raise the team’s bench points to 40 points per game and a top10 rank.
Just like LeBron James will be the primary ‘off-ball’ target for Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves in the starting lineup, Rui Hachimura will now become the primary ‘off-ball’ target off the bench for Austin Reaves to optimize.
Moving Hachimura to the bench will be a challenge but Rui loves the Lakers and they need his elite 3-point and midrange shooting off bench. Assuming Rui embraces his role, give him more shots and his extension.Since the Lakers are staggering Doncic and Reaves, it will mostly be Austin who will be paired with Rui off the bench. As a starter, Rui would have clearly been the fifth option after Luka, Austin, LeBron, and Deandre.
Coming off the bench, Rui will be the second option after Luka or Austin defended by a bench player from the opposing team. He should be able to get more and better touches and shots and be a top 6MOY candidate.In addition to adding Rui Hachimura, the Lakers’ bench is finally getting healthy with Maxi Kleber and Adou Thiero already back from injury and Gabe Vincent close to returning. Rotation changes are surely coming.
Right now, I like a bench of Gabe Vincent, Dalton Knecht, Jake LaRavia, Rui Hachimura, and Maxi Kleber with Adou Thiero pushing for minutes and Bronny James, Jarred Vanderbilt, and Jaxson Hayes seeing few minutes.LeBron James returning from injury also transform the Lakers into a championship team by replacing Rui Hachimura in the starting lineup and sending him to the bench where he will get more touches and points.
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